Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?
Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?
Chance
Before 2027
13%
▼ 2
Before 2027
13%
▼ 2
Before 2026
No
Before 2026
No
Market Rules
Before 2027
Resolves Yes if Ghislaine Maxwell has been released from all forms of government custody and is free to move and act without government-imposed physical restrictions before Jan 1, 2027.Outcome verified from BBC, NBC, relevant government authority holding person, relevant prison system or detention facility, relevant court system, relevant law enforcement agency, person, legal representatives of person, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
For purposes of this Contract, the person is released from government custody when they are no longer subject to physical detention or imprisonment imposed by any government authority. This includes release from prisons, jails, detention centers, immigration facilities, military detention, or any other form of government-imposed physical confinement at a government-run facility.
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 17, 2025 · 8:00pm EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXRELEASEMAXWELL
EventKXRELEASEMAXWELL-26JAN01
MarketKXRELEASEMAXWELL-26JAN01-27
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.