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SCOTUS & courts

Supreme Court & judges

Lawsuits & rulings

Politics odds and guides

Government shutdown odds

Will Texas sue Elon Musk or his companies before 2028?

Yes

1.93x

No

1.90x

$509 vol

When will NCAA settlement back-pay payments begin?

Before Jan 1, 2029

1.83x

Before Jan 1, 2028

3.96x

$2,107 vol

Will Trump win his BBC lawsuit?

Yes

4.31x

No

1.20x

$4,529 vol

Will courts let the 75-country visa suspension resume?

Yes

9.41x

No

1.05x

$4,951 vol

Will Brigitte Macron win her defamation lawsuit against Candace Owens?

Yes

3.52x

No

1.29x

$20,109 vol

Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?

Yes

1.97x

No

1.67x

$32,453 vol

Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?

Before Jan 1, 2027

7.85x

Before Jul 1, 2027

1.01x

$8,085 vol

Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?

Yes

1.46x

No

2.29x

$176 vol

Will a court block paid early access to Trump’s Truth Social posts?

Before Apr 1, 2027

2.89x

Before Jan 1, 2027

5.56x

$31,706 vol

Will the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit?

Yes

1.36x

No

2.66x

$906 vol

Will Fox win summary judgment against Smartmatic?

Yes

5.25x

No

1.09x

$991 vol

Will a court rule NYC’s pied-à-terre tax unconstitutional?

Yes

1.90x

No

1.79x

$105 vol

When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?

Before Jan 1, 2027

6.29x

Before Dec 1, 2026

11.7x

$13,579 vol

Will the 9th Circuit ease the Nexstar-Tegna injunction?

Yes

3.18x

No

1.23x

$0 vol

Will women get a bigger share of NCAA settlement back pay?

Yes

3.08x

No

1.34x

$3,824 vol

Will a court block Montana’s I-194 spending ban this year?

Yes

1.01x

No

1.02x

$0 vol

Will mail-order mifepristone access be restricted nationwide?

Yes

11.7x

No

1.04x

$9,152 vol

Meta ordered to pay $10 billion or more in child safety case?

Yes

4.31x

No

1.19x

$615 vol

FTC antitrust case against Meta revived on appeal?

Yes

1.62x

No

1.93x

$620 vol

Will the D.C. Circuit fully affirm the Perkins Coie ruling?

Yes

1.46x

No

2.29x

$420 vol

Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?

Yes

6.29x

No

1.06x

$3,577 vol

Will SCOTUS overturn Trump’s $83.3 million Carroll judgment?

Yes

7.25x

No

1.01x

$449 vol

Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?

Yes

1.79x

No

1.76x

$8,284 vol

Will Meta’s $25 billion New Mexico penalty be cut on appeal?

Yes

1.29x

No

1.01x

$77 vol