Will the DOJ claim a Biden pardon is void in court?
Will the DOJ claim a Biden pardon is void in court?
Chance
Before 2027
18%
Before 2027
18%
Before 2026
No
Before 2026
No
Market Rules
Before 2027
If an official filing or statement made during oral argument in a federal court proceeding (e.g. briefs, motions, memoranda, or arguments made before the court on the record) contain a statement by the Department of Justice that a pardon issued by President Joe Biden is invalid (or “void”, “unenforceable”, or equivalent) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from PACER, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 23, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXDOJPARDONS
EventKXDOJPARDONS-25
MarketKXDOJPARDONS-25-27
Insider trading is prohibited
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- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.