Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?
Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?
Order book
Order book
Market Rules
Before Jan 1, 2030
Resolves Yes if the Supreme Court, in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. Higgins, rules the Second and Fourteenth Amendments guarantee a right to possess AR-15-platform and similar semiautomatic rifles.Outcome verified from Supreme Court.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has issued a decision holding that the Second and Fourteenth Amendments guarantee the right to possess AR-15-platform and similar semiautomatic rifles, after Issuance and before January 1, 2030. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that those Amendments do not guarantee such a right. A decision recognizing the right and remanding for further proceedings resolves to Yes; if the cases are dismissed, found improvidently granted, or remanded without deciding whether the asserted constitutional right exists, the market resolves to No.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 30, 2026 · 5:45pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXSCOTUSAR15
EventKXSCOTUSAR15-30JAN
MarketKXSCOTUSAR15-30JAN
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Before Jan 1, 2030
Odds
0% chanceMax payout