How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
Begins in 1024 days · Mar 31, 10:30am EDT
Chance
At least 250 billion
9.5%
At least 250 billion
9.5%
At least 500 billion
9.5%
At least 500 billion
9.5%
At least 750 billion
8.7%
At least 750 billion
8.7%
2 more
Market Rules
At least 250 billion
If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $250 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from FRED.
Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 is compared against Q4 2024.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 13, 2024 · 2:00pm EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXGOVTCUTS
EventKXGOVTCUTS-28
MarketKXGOVTCUTS-28-250
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.