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Fed funds rate at end of 2027

Above 4.25%
2.89x
Above 4.50%
3.08x
$146,621 vol

Fed decision in December?

Hike 25bps
1.40x
Fed maintains rate
3.18x
$2,463,873 vol

Fed funds rate after December meeting?

Above 4.00%
1.36x
Above 4.25%
31.2x
$685,907 vol

Number of rate hikes this year?

Exactly 2
1.40x
Exactly 1
3.29x
$373,042 vol

Next Fed rate hike?

Before 2027
1.31x
Before July 2027
1.08x
$193,404 vol

December 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents

Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0
1.76x
Rate: No change, Dissents: >0
4.13x
$35,215 vol

SOFR for October 30, 2026

3.95% or Above
1.05x
Exactly 3.89%
11.7x
$2,212 vol

Total Fed dissents in 2026

Exactly 9
2.46x
Exactly 10
4.31x
$2,894 vol

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 0 cuts
1.04x
Exactly 1 cut
46.8x
$11,193,478 vol

How many dissenting votes at the December Fed meeting?

0
1.55x
2
4.98x
$3,616 vol

Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?

Michael Faulkender
Michael Faulkender
1.13x
Marc Sumerlin
Marc Sumerlin
7.85x
$65,370 vol

Next Fed rate cut?

Before 2028
1.86x
Before July 2027
3.40x
$4,370 vol

Fed rate cut before 2027?

Yes
23.4x
No
1.03x
$1,665,213 vol

Number of Fed rate changes before 2027

Exactly 2
1.26x
Exactly 1
3.66x
$183,021 vol

Who will dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Beth Hammack
4.31x
Lorie Logan
6.29x
$24,174 vol

Will rates hit zero this year?

Yes
93.5x
No
--
$71,727 vol

Number of emergency rate cuts this year?

0 cuts
1.02x
3 cuts
93.5x
$521,032 vol

Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026

Above $6.8 trillion
2.40x
Above $6.7 trillion
1.18x
$21,014 vol

Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.02x
$189,524 vol

Fed median dot plot in December 2026

Above 4.1%
3.96x
Above 4.0%
1.18x
$3,811 vol

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Yes
46.8x
No
1.01x
$687,493 vol

Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

Reserve President Removed
11.7x
Trimmed Mean Emphasized
13.4x
$49,605 vol

Will the Fed publish a dot plot in December?

Yes
1.02x
No
9.41x
$136 vol

SOFR at end of Q4 2026

Above 4.00%
1.26x
Above 4.25%
3.29x
$66,218 vol