MARKETSPERPSLIVE151
Cash
Portfolio
TrendingElectionsPoliticsCultureSportsCryptoCommoditiesClimate

Economics

MentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive151AccountSocial
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

Fed

All markets
Econ Daily
Econ Weekly
Fed
GDP
Global Central Banks
Growth
Housing
Inflation
Jobs & Economy
Oil and energy
Hub
Fed

Fed funds rate at end of 2027

Above 4.50%
2.01x
Above 4.25%
1.38x
$62,673 vol21 markets
US FED

Fed decision in October?

Hike 25bps
1.73x
Fed maintains rate
2.14x
$1,875,698 vol5 markets
Fed

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 0 cuts
1.05x
Exactly 1 cut
31.2x
$9,801,986 vol21 markets
US FED

Fed funds rate after October meeting?

Above 4.00%
1.60x
Above 4.50%
93.5x
$123,289 vol11 markets
Fed

Number of rate hikes this year?

Exactly 2
1.62x
Exactly 3
3.40x
$43,549 vol4 markets
US FED

Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Beth Hammack
3.08x
Neel Kashkari
4.98x
$8,081 vol12 markets
Fed

Next Fed rate hike?

Before 2027
1.15x
Before July 2027
1.08x
$21,896 vol5 markets
Fed

SOFR for September 18, 2026

Exactly 3.85%
1.79x
Exactly 3.86%
3.80x
$2,973 vol7 markets
Fed

Number of emergency rate cuts this year?

0 cuts
1.05x
1 cuts
23.4x
$462,355 vol5 markets
Fed

Fed rate cut before 2027?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.04x
$1,332,522 vol1 market
Economics

Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?

Before Jan 1, 2031
1.28x
Before Jan 1, 2030
7.25x
$8,154 vol5 markets
Fed

Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.04x
$181,154 vol1 market
US FED

How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting?

0
1.62x
1
3.80x
$5,223 vol6 markets
Fed

Fed median dot plot in December 2026

Above 4.1%
1.12x
Above 4.2%
1.07x
$302 vol12 markets
Fed

UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026

Above 4.70%
1.09x
Above 4.80%
6.29x
$28,606 vol22 markets
Fed

Number of Fed rate changes before 2027

Exactly 2
1.70x
Exactly 3
3.29x
$128,487 vol12 markets
Fed

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Yes
31.2x
No
1.01x
$639,048 vol1 market
Fed

SOFR at end of Q3 2026

Above 4.25%
7.25x
Above 5.00%
7.85x
$4,801 vol4 markets
Economics

Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?

Yes
1.42x
No
--
$7,678 vol1 market
Fed

Will rates hit zero this year?

Yes
46.8x
No
--
$60,098 vol1 market
Economics

Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?

David Altig
1.04x
Michael Faulkender
1.04x
$23 vol5 markets
Economics

Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

Presser Skipped
10.4x
Trimmed Mean Emphasized
7.85x
$45,433 vol5 markets
Economics

October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents

Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0
2.73x
Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: >0
3.40x
$2,566 vol6 markets
Fed

Will the Fed publish a dot plot in December?

Yes
1.02x
No
1.02x
$0 vol1 market