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Hub
Fed
Fed funds rate at end of 2027
Above 4.50%
2.01
x
48
%
Above 4.25%
1.50
x
65
%
$106,017 vol
21 markets
US FED
Fed decision in October?
Fed maintains rate
1.16
x
85
%
Hike 25bps
5.90
x
16
%
$8,770,854 vol
5 markets
US FED
Fed funds rate after October meeting?
Above 4.00%
5.25
x
18
%
Above 4.25%
93.5
x
1
%
$324,547 vol
11 markets
Fed
SOFR for October 9, 2026
Exactly 3.87%
1.06
x
57
%
Exactly 3.86%
2.40
x
44
%
$5,796 vol
7 markets
Fed
Number of rate hikes this year?
Exactly 2
1.34
x
72
%
Exactly 1
3.96
x
24
%
$185,160 vol
4 markets
Fed
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Exactly 0 cuts
1.04
x
95
%
Exactly 1 cut
46.8
x
2
%
$10,457,297 vol
21 markets
Fed
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027
Exactly 2
1.57
x
59
%
Exactly 1
4.31
x
22
%
$156,982 vol
12 markets
Fed
Fed rate cut before 2027?
Yes
18.8
x
5
%
No
1.05
x
95
%
$1,453,960 vol
1 market
US FED
How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting?
0
3.29
x
26
%
1
3.40
x
22
%
$11,813 vol
6 markets
Fed
Next Fed rate hike?
Before 2027
1.23
x
82
%
Before July 2027
1.07
x
92
%
$94,305 vol
5 markets
US FED
Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting?
Lorie Logan
1.93
x
50
%
Neel Kashkari
2.19
x
32
%
$18,665 vol
12 markets
US FED
October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents
Rate: No change, Dissents: >0
1.33
x
29
%
Rate: No change, Dissents: 0
5.56
x
10
%
$12,775 vol
6 markets
Fed
Will rates hit zero this year?
Yes
46.8
x
1
%
No
1.01
x
99
%
$60,771 vol
1 market
Fed
Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?
Michael Faulkender
2.14
x
40
%
David Altig
3.40
x
23
%
$23 vol
5 markets
Fed
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
Yes
31.2
x
3
%
No
1.01
x
97
%
$661,758 vol
1 market
Fed
Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?
Trimmed Mean Emphasized
7.85
x
11
%
Reserve President Rejected
7.25
x
13
%
$46,682 vol
5 markets
Fed
Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?
Yes
13.4
x
7
%
No
1.02
x
93
%
$184,542 vol
1 market
Fed
Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?
Yes
2.66
x
29
%
No
1.34
x
71
%
$8,012 vol
1 market
Fed
Total Fed dissents in 2026
Exactly 7
2.73
x
24
%
Exactly 9
3.29
x
27
%
$263 vol
7 markets
Fed
Next Fed rate cut?
Before July 2028
1.55
x
64
%
Before 2028
2.40
x
41
%
$1,018 vol
5 markets
Fed
Number of emergency rate cuts this year?
0 cuts
1.02
x
97
%
1 cuts
31.2
x
3
%
$500,596 vol
5 markets
Fed
Will the Fed publish a dot plot in December?
Yes
1.05
x
86
%
No
6.74
x
14
%
$34 vol
1 market
Fed
Fed median dot plot in December 2026
Above 4.2%
2.14
x
74
%
Above 4.1%
1.33
x
73
%
$1,798 vol
12 markets
Fed
SOFR at end of Q4 2026
Above 4.25%
2.29
x
54
%
Above 3.75%
1.02
x
97
%
$19,763 vol
8 markets
Hub
