Number of emergency rate cuts this year?
Number of emergency rate cuts this year?
Begins in 204 days · Dec 31, 10:00pm EST
Chance
0 cuts
86.5%
▼ 5.4
0 cuts
86.5%
▼ 5.4
1 cuts
7.5%
▼ 0.1
1 cuts
7.5%
▼ 0.1
2 cuts
8.9%
2 cuts
8.9%
2 more
Market Rules
0 cuts
If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 0 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Federal Reserve.
To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 5, 2026 · 10:00pm EST
Market closesDec 31, 2026 · 11:59pm EST
Projected payoutJan 1, 2027 · 12:29am EST
SeriesKXEMERCUTS
EventKXEMERCUTS-26
MarketKXEMERCUTS-26-T0
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.