Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Begins in 203 days · Jan 1, 10:00am EST

$308,162 vol

Order book

Market Rules

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Federal Reserve.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included. The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

Timeline and payout

Market openJan 6, 2026 · 10:00am EST

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2027 at 10:00am EST.

SeriesKXLARGECUT

EventKXLARGECUT-26

MarketKXLARGECUT-26

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.