Will Trump bring back manufacturing? Odds & Predictions 2028
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
Begins in 1115 days · Jun 29, 10:00pm EDT
$20,831 vol
Chance
Before 2029
18%
▲ 3.6
Before 2029
18%
▲ 3.6
Market Rules
Before 2029
If the value added by Manufacturing to GDP in Q4 2028 is at least 13.1% (the value it was in Q1 2005), then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from BEA.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 5, 2025 · 2:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jun 29, 2029 at 11:59pm EDT.
SeriesKXGDPSHAREMANU
EventKXGDPSHAREMANU-29
MarketKXGDPSHAREMANU-29
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.