Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
Begins in 188 days · Jan 1, 9:00am EST
Chance
Exactly 3 cuts
14%
▼ 13
Exactly 3 cuts
14%
▼ 13
Exactly 4 cuts
41%
▲ 3
Exactly 4 cuts
41%
▲ 3
Exactly 5 cuts
34%
▼ 4
Exactly 5 cuts
34%
▼ 4
3 more
Market Rules
Exactly 2 cuts
Resolves Yes if the total number of Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 is exactly 2.Outcome verified from Trading Economics.
The Underlying is the number of discrete decreases in the Brazil interest rate value during calendar year 2026.
Each separate decrease counts as one rate cut, regardless of the size of the decrease. For example, a decrease from 14.75% to 14.50% counts as one rate cut, and a decrease from 14.50% to 14.25% would count as another rate cut.
Rate cuts before market issuance count, provided they occurred during calendar year 2026. As of issuance, Brazil has already had 2 qualifying 2026 rate cuts: the Selic target was reduced to 14.75% in March 2026 and to 14.50% in April 2026.
Rate hikes do not offset prior rate cuts. If the Brazil interest rate is cut, then later hiked, then later cut again, the two cuts count separately.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 2, 2026 · 7:00pm EDT
Market closesJan 1, 2027 · 9:59am EST
Projected payoutJan 8, 2027 · 12:00pm EST
SeriesKXBRRATECUT
EventKXBRRATECUT-27JAN01
MarketKXBRRATECUT-27JAN01-E2
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Exactly 2 cuts
Odds
0% chanceMax payout