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  1. House

MN-01 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
444
Chance
Jake Johnson
Democratic (DFL) party
95.2%
▼ 0.9

Jake Johnson

Democratic (DFL) party
95.2%
▼ 0.9
Brad Finstad
Republican party
4.8%
▲ 0.9

Brad Finstad

Republican party
4.8%
▲ 0.9

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General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
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MN-01 House winner?

Jake Johnson

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Johnson
Nov 3
Finstad
$1,082,949 vol

AI Digest · Finstad seeks recount in tight Minnesota House race against Johnson

Not advice
Race Intel

MN-01 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentBrad Finstad (R)Running for re-election

MN-01 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Brad FinstadR45.0%
    45.0%
    $2.6M
    6.8%
    $2.6M raised·6.8% small donors
  • Jake JohnsonD44.7%
    44.7%
    $3.2M
    29%
    $3.2M raised·29% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MN-01 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +12.0%2020R +9.2%

More Minnesota and 2026 Midterm Races

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Minnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. TafoyaMinnesota Governor race: Klobuchar vs. DemuthMN-05 House race

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Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

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2026 midterm predictions2026 House forecast

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