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  1. US Elections
  2. /
  3. 2026 midterm predictions

Who will control the Senate?

Live
Settles on media consensus; if no consensus, President pro tempore's party on 2/1/27
Democratic Party
Yes

Democratic Party

Yes
Republican Party
No

Republican Party

No

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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
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How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)
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Closest Senate race this year?
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Mississippi Senate winner?
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Alaska Senate winner?
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NC-03 House winner?
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AZ-02 House winner?
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Kansas Governor winner?
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
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Determined
Outcome: Yes
Explore Elections
Democratic
Republican
$332,257,082 vol

Who Will Control the Senate in 2026?

35 Senate seats are on the ballot on November 3, 2026. Kalshi traders give Democrats a 100% chance of winning control.

The races most likely to decide control are Mississippi and Alaska. Each has its own market below.

Control of Congress

Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions2026 Senate forecast

Top races

Mississippi Senate race: Colom vs. Hyde-SmithAlaska Senate raceTexas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonTexas Governor race: Hinojosa vs. AbbottMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsSouth Carolina Senate race: Andrews vs. GrahamNebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. BurbankIowa Senate race: Turek vs. Hinson

More races

Oklahoma Governor race: Mazzei vs. MunsonSouth Dakota Senate race: Rounds vs. BengsIllinois Governor race: Pritzker vs. BaileyNew Hampshire Governor race: Ayotte vs. WarmingtonWest Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. AndersonColorado Governor race: Weiser vs. MarxNebraska Governor race: Pillen vs. WalzMaryland Governor race: Moore vs. CoxTennessee Senate race: Hagerty vs. BradshawSouth Carolina Governor race: Wilson vs. Johnson