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  1. Governor

Tennessee Governor winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Marsha Blackburn
Republican party
92.2%
▲ 0.3

Marsha Blackburn

Republican party
92.2%
▲ 0.3
David Hatley
Independent
30%
▲ 27

David Hatley

Independent
30%
▲ 27
Jerri Green
Democratic party
6.6%
▼ 1.1

Jerri Green

Democratic party
6.6%
▼ 1.1
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Tennessee Governor winner?

Marsha Blackburn

Odds
93% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Hatley
Nov 3 ·R +15.4margin forecast
Blackburn
$191,484 vol
Race Intel

Tennessee Governor Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentBill Lee (R)Term-limited

Tennessee Governor Candidates

CandidatePolls
  • Marsha BlackburnR46.5%
    46.5%
  • Jerri GreenD33.1%
    33.1%

Blackburn vs. Hatley Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageBlackburn 46.5%No head-to-head polling average yet
Kalshi oddsBlackburn 92%Hatley 30% · $178.3K traded
Polling averages

Past Tennessee Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +29.7%2020R +23.2%