MARKETSPERPSLIVE62
Cash
Portfolio
Trending

Elections

PoliticsCultureSportsCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive62AccountSocial
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

2026 Midterms

All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
SenateHouseGovernorBalance of Power
LiveKalshi Forecast

Democrats favored to hold 24 seats, Republicans favored to hold 23 seats, with 3 toss-ups

Early forecasts · 63 days to Election
24Democrats
Republicans23
24 current Democratic seats26 current Republican seats
Timeline
Live

Races by rating

Safe Democratic

Total 13
DCalifornia96%DColorado97%DConnecticut95%DHawaii98%DIllinois96%DMassachusetts95%DMaryland98%DMaine94%DMinnesota95%DNew Mexico95%DNew York94%DPennsylvania97%DRhode Island94%

Likely Democratic

Total 4
DArizona89%DMichigan87%DOregon87%DWisconsin80%

Lean Democratic

Total 1
DIowa74%

Toss-up

Total 3Dem 3Rep 0
DAlaska53%DGeorgia59%DOhio57%

Lean Republican

Total 2
RKansas65%RNevada61%

Likely Republican

Total 3
RFlorida81%RNew Hampshire88%RTexas85%

Safe Republican

Total 10
RAlabama94%RArkansas97%RIdaho95%RNebraska91%ROklahoma93%RSouth Carolina93%RSouth Dakota98%RTennessee98%RVermont92%RWyoming94%

Combos

Governor

Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?

Democratic Party
Republican Party
$216,225 vol3 markets
Governor Combos

Closest Governor race this year?

Georgia
Georgia
Georgia
Ohio
Ohio
Ohio
$61,105 vol14 markets
Governor Combos

Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races?

Yes
No
$40,304 vol1 market
Governor Combos

How many Governors will lose reelection this year?

Exactly 1
Exactly 2
$4,603 vol6 markets
Governor Combos

Number of Republican governors after the midterms?

At least 24
At least 23
$2,102 vol8 markets

More markets

Ohio
D
Amy ActonActon
R
Vivek RamaswamyRamaswamy
57%
43%
California
D
Xavier BecerraBecerra
R
Steve HiltonHilton
96%
4%
New York
D
Kathy HochulHochul*
R
Bruce BlakemanBlakeman
93%
7%
Wisconsin
D
David CrowleyCrowley
R
Tom TiffanyTiffany
81%
19%
Texas
D
Gina HinojosaHinojosa
R
Greg AbbottAbbott*
17%
83%
Florida
D
David JollyJolly
R
Byron DonaldsDonalds
20%
80%
Nevada
D
Aaron FordFord
R
Joe LombardoLombardo*
41%
59%
Georgia
D
Keisha Lance BottomsBottoms
R
Rick JacksonJackson
59%
41%
Arizona
D
Katie HobbsHobbs*
R
Andy BiggsBiggs
86%
14%
Iowa
D
Rob SandSand
R
Zach LahnLahn
73%
27%
Pennsylvania
D
Josh ShapiroShapiro*
R
Stacy GarrityGarrity
96%
4%
Minnesota
D
Amy KlobucharKlobuchar
R
Lisa DemuthDemuth
94%
6%
Michigan
D
Jocelyn BensonBenson
R
John JamesJames
86%
14%
Massachusetts
D
Democratic partyDemocrat*
R
Republican partyRepublican
93%
7%
Oregon
D
Tina KotekKotek*
R
Christine DrazanDrazan
87%
13%
Alaska
D
Democratic partyDemocrat
R
Republican partyRepublican
51%
49%
Oklahoma
D
Cyndi MunsonMunson
R
Republican partyRepublican
7%
93%
Illinois
D
JB PritzkerPritzker*
R
Darren BaileyBailey
95%
5%
Colorado
D
Phil WeiserWeiser
R
Victor MarxMarx
96%
4%
Alabama
D
Doug JonesJones
R
Tommy TubervilleTuberville
7%
93%
1–5 of 36
Showing 5 of 36
131 events
MarketPays outOdds
Mayor

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

$92,968,778 vol
Karen Bass
Karen Bass
Karen Bass
1.48x
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
2.81x
Senate

Blue wave this year?

$474,798 vol
Yes
1.28x
No
3.96x
Other US Elections

Providence Mayor winner?

$27,467 vol
David Morales
1.79x
Brett Smiley
1.97x
US Elections

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

$810,151 vol
Yes
2.89x
No
1.42x
US Elections

Will the Massachusetts rent control initiative pass?

$31,459 vol
Yes
1.05x
No
1.13x
California

LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo

$46,517 vol
Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra
1.44x
Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra
2.46x
US Elections

Will Florida’s property tax amendment pass?

$15,691 vol
Yes
3.96x
No
1.26x
Senate

Blue tsunami this year?

$380,930 vol
Yes
2.40x
No
1.60x
Other US Elections

Missouri State Senate District 8 winner?

$3,337 vol
Jon Patterson
1.28x
Keri Ingle
2.98x
Senate

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Blexas)

$18,727 vol
Yes
1.67x
No
2.24x
US Elections

Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?

$4,405 vol
Yes
2.40x
No
1.48x
Attorney General

Wisconsin Attorney General winner?

$19,963 vol
Josh Kaul
Josh Kaul
Josh Kaul
1.16x
Eric Toney
Eric Toney
Eric Toney
4.51x
US Elections

Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?

$40,290 vol
Secretary of State
1.10x
State Superintendent of Schools
1.10x
Attorney General

Minnesota Attorney General winner?

$15,615 vol
Keith Ellison
Keith Ellison
Keith Ellison
1.26x
Ronald J. Schutz
Ronald J. Schutz
Ronald J. Schutz
3.80x
Senate

Iowa Blue Wave Combo

$16,250 vol
Yes
3.80x
No
1.26x
Secretary of State

Arizona Secretary of State winner?

$2,751 vol
Adrian Fontes
Adrian Fontes
Adrian Fontes
1.16x
Alexander Kolodin
Alexander Kolodin
Alexander Kolodin
5.56x
Attorney General

Arizona Attorney General winner?

$10,776 vol
Kris Mayes
Kris Mayes
Kris Mayes
1.28x
Warren Petersen
Warren Petersen
Warren Petersen
3.66x
Attorney General

Delaware Attorney General winner?

$271 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
1.05x
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
7.85x
Other US Elections

Texas Railroad Commissioner winner

$3,839 vol
Bo French
1.38x
Jon Rosenthal
2.66x
Other US Elections

Texas House of Representatives winner

$2,186 vol
Republican Party
1.19x
Democratic Party
3.96x
Other US Elections

Ohio State House winner?

$6,636 vol
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
1.12x
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
5.90x
Other US Elections

New Hampshire State Senate winner?

$7,605 vol
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
1.38x
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
2.66x
Other US Elections

Alaska State Senate winner?

$1,470 vol
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
1.12x
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
5.25x
Other US Elections

Michigan State House winner?

$1,965 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
1.42x
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
2.52x