Cash
Portfolio
Trending

Midterms

ElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive181AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE181
2026 Midterms
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums

2026 Midterm Election Predictions

2 daysto Election

OverviewSenateHouseGovernorStatesMy Ballot
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
Key races

Texas Governor winner?

Nov 3
Hinojosa33%
Abbott67%
Projected marginR +3.4

Florida Governor winner?

Nov 3
Jolly35%
Donalds65%
Projected marginR +3.0

Ohio Governor winner?

Nov 3
Acton80%
Ramaswamy20%
Projected marginD +4.2

New York Governor winner?

Nov 3
Hochul96%
Blakeman4%
Projected marginD +14.5

California Governor winner?

Nov 3
Becerra97%
Hilton3%
Projected marginD +23.4

Nevada Governor winner?

Nov 3
Ford75%
Lombardo25%
Projected marginD +3.8

Georgia Governor winner?

Nov 3
Bottoms68%
Jackson32%
Projected marginD +2.6

Massachusetts Governor winner?

Nov 3
Healey97%
Minogue3%
Projected marginD +24.8

Iowa Governor winner?

Nov 3
Sand85%
Lahn15%
Projected marginD +4.9

Wisconsin Governor winner?

Nov 3
Crowley83%
Tiffany17%
Projected marginD +5.0

Arizona Governor winner?

Nov 3
Hobbs90%
Biggs10%
Projected marginD +8.7

Pennsylvania Governor winner?

Nov 3
Shapiro98%
Garrity2%
Projected marginD +22.4
LiveKalshi Midterms Forecast

Democrats favored to hold 28 seats, Republicans favored to hold 22 seats, with 0 toss-ups

28Democrats
Republicans22
24 current Democratic seats26 current Republican seats
Timeline
Live
Races by rating
Safe Democratic
Total 15
DArizona91%DCalifornia97%DColorado97%DConnecticut97%DHawaii99%DIllinois98%DMassachusetts97%DMaryland99%DMaine96%DMichigan92%DMinnesota96%DNew Mexico95%DNew York96%DPennsylvania98%DRhode Island96%
Likely Democratic
Total 6
DAlaska87%DIowa83%DNevada75%DOhio80%DOregon82%DWisconsin83%
Lean Democratic
Total 1
DGeorgia69%
Toss-up
Total 0Dem 0Rep 0
No races
Lean Republican
Total 3
RFlorida64%RKansas74%RTexas67%
Likely Republican
Total 1
RVermont76%
Safe Republican
Total 10
RAlabama94%RArkansas97%RIdaho97%RNebraska92%RNew Hampshire93%ROklahoma91%RSouth Carolina93%RSouth Dakota97%RTennessee93%RWyoming98%
Combos

Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?

Democratic Party
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Republican Party
$359,049 vol

Closest Governor race this year?

Georgia
Georgia
Kansas
Kansas
$178,840 vol

Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races?

Yes
No
$79,551 vol

How many Governors will lose reelection this year?

Exactly 2
Exactly 3
$39,092 vol

Number of Republican governors after the midterms?

At least 22
At least 23
$15,510 vol

Which states will Democrats win a trifecta this year?

Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
Wisconsin
$12,396 vol

Which states will Republicans win a trifecta this year?

Georgia
Georgia
Kansas
Kansas
$7,914 vol
Texas
D
Gina HinojosaHinojosa
R
Greg AbbottAbbott*
33%
Projected marginR +3.4
67%
Projected marginR +3.4
Florida
D
David JollyJolly
R
Byron DonaldsDonalds
36%
Projected marginR +3.1
64%
Projected marginR +3.1
Ohio
D
Amy ActonActon
R
Vivek RamaswamyRamaswamy
79%
Projected marginD +4.2
21%
Projected marginD +4.2
New York
D
Kathy HochulHochul*
R
Bruce BlakemanBlakeman
96%
Projected marginD +14.5
4%
Projected marginD +14.5
California
D
Xavier BecerraBecerra
R
Steve HiltonHilton
97%
Projected marginD +23.4
3%
Projected marginD +23.4
Nevada
D
Aaron FordFord
R
Joe LombardoLombardo*
75%
Projected marginD +3.8
25%
Projected marginD +3.8
Georgia
D
Keisha Lance BottomsBottoms
R
Rick JacksonJackson
68%
Projected marginD +2.6
32%
Projected marginD +2.6
Massachusetts
D
Maura HealeyHealey*
R
Mike MinogueMinogue
97%
Projected marginD +24.8
3%
Projected marginD +24.8
Iowa
D
Rob SandSand
R
Zach LahnLahn
85%
Projected marginD +4.9
15%
Projected marginD +4.9
Wisconsin
D
David CrowleyCrowley
R
Tom TiffanyTiffany
82%
Projected marginD +5.0
18%
Projected marginD +5.0
Arizona
D
Katie HobbsHobbs*
R
Andy BiggsBiggs
90%
Projected marginD +8.7
10%
Projected marginD +8.7
Pennsylvania
D
Josh ShapiroShapiro*
R
Stacy GarrityGarrity
98%
Projected marginD +22.4
2%
Projected marginD +22.4
Vermont
D
Amanda JanooJanoo
R
Phil ScottScott*
23%
77%
Minnesota
D
Amy KlobucharKlobuchar
R
Lisa DemuthDemuth
96%
Projected marginD +13.1
4%
Projected marginD +13.1
Michigan
D
Jocelyn BensonBenson
R
John JamesJames
92%
Projected marginD +9.6
8%
Projected marginD +9.6
Oregon
D
Tina KotekKotek*
R
Christine DrazanDrazan
81%
19%
Tennessee
D
Jerri GreenGreen
R
Marsha BlackburnBlackburn
5%
Projected marginR +13.0
95%
Projected marginR +13.0
Oklahoma
D
Cyndi MunsonMunson
R
Mike MazzeiMazzei
11%
Projected marginR +8.5
89%
Projected marginR +8.5
Illinois
D
JB PritzkerPritzker*
R
Darren BaileyBailey
98%
Projected marginD +22.9
2%
Projected marginD +22.9
Colorado
D
Phil WeiserWeiser
R
Victor MarxMarx
97%
Projected marginD +27.1
3%
Projected marginD +27.1
1–5 of 36
Showing 5 of 36
More markets
160 events
MarketPays outOdds

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

·Mayor
$108,358,331 vol
Karen Bass
Karen Bass
1.67x
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
2.29x

Blue wave this year?

·Senate
$3,788,525 vol
Yes
1.16x
No
5.90x

Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?

·Senate
$476,492 vol
Yes
3.18x
No
1.38x

Blue tsunami this year?

·Senate
$1,208,724 vol
Yes
1.52x
No
2.59x

New York Attorney General winner?

·Attorney General
$1,611,821 vol
Letitia James
Letitia James
1.06x
Saritha Komatireddy
Saritha Komatireddy
18.8x

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

·US Elections
$1,967,856 vol
Yes
3.80x
No
1.29x

Midterms: Blue trickle?

·Senate
$79,535 vol
Yes
1.06x
No
11.7x

North Carolina State Senate winner?

·US Elections
$59,979 vol
Republican party
Republican party
1.52x
Democratic party
Democratic party
3.40x

Nebraska Attorney General winner?

·Attorney General
$19,129 vol
Mike Hilgers
Mike Hilgers
1.06x
Jocelyn Brasher
Jocelyn Brasher
23.4x

Texas Railroad Commissioner winner

·US Elections
$216,545 vol
Jon Rosenthal
Jon Rosenthal
1.70x
Bo French
Bo French
2.19x

Michigan Attorney General winner?

·Attorney General
$29,445 vol
Eli Savit
Eli Savit
1.20x
Doug Lloyd
Doug Lloyd
4.51x

Will Florida’s property tax amendment pass?

·Referendums
$85,316 vol
Yes
3.40x
No
1.34x

New Hampshire State Senate winner?

·US Elections
$39,468 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
2.24x
Republican party
Republican party
2.46x

Texas State House winner?

·US Elections
$36,157 vol
Republican party
Republican party
1.36x
Democratic party
Democratic party
3.80x

Minnesota Attorney General winner?

·Attorney General
$214,226 vol
Keith Ellison
Keith Ellison
1.26x
Ronald J. Schutz
Ronald J. Schutz
4.13x

Florida Attorney General winner?

·Attorney General
$74,176 vol
James Uthmeier
James Uthmeier
1.28x
José Javier Rodriguez
José Javier Rodriguez
4.13x

Texas Attorney General winner?

·Attorney General
$38,637 vol
Mayes Middleton
Mayes Middleton
1.31x
Nathan Johnson
Nathan Johnson
3.66x

Arizona Attorney General winner?

·Attorney General
$63,394 vol
Kris Mayes
Kris Mayes
1.18x
Warren Petersen
Warren Petersen
5.56x

Iowa Attorney General winner?

·Attorney General
$69,902 vol
Brenna Bird
Brenna Bird
1.29x
Nate Willems
Nate Willems
3.80x

Which abortion-related measures will pass this year?

·Referendums
$21,318 vol
Missouri Amendment 3
2.24x
Virginia Question 1
1.09x

Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?

·Mixed Combos
$48,895 vol
Governor
1.10x
Senate
1.06x

Pennsylvania State Senate winner?

·US Elections
$34,314 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
1.79x
Republican party
Republican party
2.09x

Which ballot measures will pass in Arizona?

·Referendums
$44,394 vol
Proposition 144
1.55x
Proposition 320
1.42x

North Carolina State House winner?

·US Elections
$97,717 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
1.73x
Republican party
Republican party
2.46x