2026 Midterms

Closest Governor race this year?

Ohio

Iowa

$63,967 vol15 markets

Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races?

Yes

$52,705 vol1 market

How many Governors will lose reelection this year?

Exactly 1

Exactly 2

$12,004 vol6 markets

Number of Republican governors after the midterms?

At least 24

At least 23

$5,613 vol8 markets

More markets

136 events

MarketPays outOdds

Mayor

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

$95,126,144 vol

Karen Bass

1.55x

Nithya Raman

2.52x

Blue wave this year?

$674,276 vol

Yes

1.14x

6.29x

Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?

$13,527 vol

Yes

2.98x

1.38x

Blue tsunami this year?

$493,832 vol

Yes

2.09x

1.76x

Texas Railroad Commissioner winner

$87,744 vol

Jon Rosenthal

1.67x

Bo French

2.24x

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

$900,121 vol

Yes

2.98x

1.42x

Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner?

$2,870 vol

Greg Dolezal

1.86x

Josh McLaurin

1.86x

Wisconsin State Senate winner?

$2,357 vol

Democratic party

1.10x

Republican party

1.44x

Will Florida’s property tax amendment pass?

$23,441 vol

Yes

2.29x

1.62x

Providence Mayor winner?

$185,183 vol

David Morales

1.01x

Brett Smiley

46.8x

Iowa Blue Wave Combo

$19,995 vol

Yes

3.52x

1.33x

Minnesota State House winner?

$20,406 vol

Democratic party

1.06x

Republican party

3.66x

Texas State Senate winner?

$13,689 vol

Republican party

1.05x

Democratic party

8.56x

Secretary of State

Georgia Secretary of State winner?

$5,650 vol

Tim Fleming

1.67x

Penny Brown Reynolds

1.83x

Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho?

$24,696 vol

Reproductive Freedom and Privacy Act

1.97x

Drug Legalization Authority Amendment

1.28x

Which ballot measures will pass in Massachusetts?

$2,939 vol

Question 3

2.73x

Question 5

2.14x

North Carolina State Senate winner?

$1,759 vol

Republican party

1.04x

Democratic party

7.25x

Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)

$4,411 vol

Karen Bass, ≥2%

1.76x

Karen Bass, ≥4%

2.01x

Minnesota Attorney General winner?

$19,806 vol

Keith Ellison

1.28x

Ronald J. Schutz

3.29x

California Lieutenant Governor winner?

$100,704 vol

Fiona Ma

1.05x

Gloria Romero

New York Attorney General winner?

$17,885 vol

Letitia James

1.04x

Saritha Komatireddy

10.4x

Arizona State Senate winner?

$4,248 vol

Democratic party

1.04x

Republican party

1.14x

How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win this year?

$906 vol

At least 2

1.90x

At least 1

1.50x

Texas House of Representatives winner

$2,422 vol

Republican Party

1.19x

Democratic Party

2.14x

136 events

MarketPays outOdds

Mayor

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

$95,126,144 vol

Karen Bass

1.55x

Nithya Raman

2.52x

Blue wave this year?

$674,276 vol

Yes

1.14x

6.29x

Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?

$13,527 vol

Yes

2.98x

1.38x

Blue tsunami this year?

$493,832 vol

Yes

2.09x

1.76x

Texas Railroad Commissioner winner

$87,744 vol

Jon Rosenthal

1.67x

Bo French

2.24x

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

$900,121 vol

Yes

2.98x

1.42x

Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner?

$2,870 vol

Greg Dolezal

1.86x

Josh McLaurin

1.86x

Wisconsin State Senate winner?

$2,357 vol

Democratic party

1.10x

Republican party

1.44x

Will Florida’s property tax amendment pass?

$23,441 vol

Yes

2.29x

1.62x

Providence Mayor winner?

$185,183 vol

David Morales

1.01x

Brett Smiley

46.8x

Iowa Blue Wave Combo

$19,995 vol

Yes

3.52x

1.33x

Minnesota State House winner?

$20,406 vol

Democratic party

1.06x

Republican party

3.66x

Texas State Senate winner?

$13,689 vol

Republican party

1.05x

Democratic party

8.56x

Secretary of State

Georgia Secretary of State winner?

$5,650 vol

Tim Fleming

1.67x

Penny Brown Reynolds

1.83x

Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho?

$24,696 vol

Reproductive Freedom and Privacy Act

1.97x

Drug Legalization Authority Amendment

1.28x

Which ballot measures will pass in Massachusetts?

$2,939 vol

Question 3

2.73x

Question 5

2.14x

North Carolina State Senate winner?

$1,759 vol

Republican party

1.04x

Democratic party

7.25x

Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)

$4,411 vol

Karen Bass, ≥2%

1.76x

Karen Bass, ≥4%

2.01x

Minnesota Attorney General winner?

$19,806 vol

Keith Ellison

1.28x

Ronald J. Schutz

3.29x

California Lieutenant Governor winner?

$100,704 vol

Fiona Ma

1.05x

Gloria Romero

New York Attorney General winner?

$17,885 vol

Letitia James

1.04x

Saritha Komatireddy

10.4x

Arizona State Senate winner?

$4,248 vol

Democratic party

1.04x

Republican party

1.14x

How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win this year?

$906 vol

At least 2

1.90x

At least 1

1.50x