Cash
Portfolio
Trending

Midterms

ElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive342AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE342
2026 Midterms
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programSmall business hedgingInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Referendums

2026 Midterm Election Predictions

OverviewSenateHouseGovernorStatesMy Ballot
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Referendums
Key races

NC-03 House winner?

Live
Smith69%
Murphy31%

NY-17 House winner?

Live
Conley100%
Lawler0%
Projected marginD +6.3

VA-05 House winner?

Live
Perriello1%
McGuire99%
Projected marginR +2.4

MT-01 House winner?

Live
Forstag100%
Flint0%
Projected marginD +4.6

AZ-02 House winner?

Live
Nez28%
Crane72%
Projected marginD +0.6

NJ-02 House winner?

Live
Mullock100%
Drew0%
Projected marginD +2.9

NC-13 House winner?

Live
Barringer100%
Knott0%

VA-01 House winner?

Live
Taylor100%
Wittman0%

TN-09 House winner?

Live
Pearson0%
Taylor100%

NC-01 House winner?

Live
Davis100%
Buckhout0%

NC-09 House winner?

Live
Ojeda100%
Hudson0%

ME-02 House winner?

Live
Dunlap0%
LePage100%
LiveKalshi Midterms Forecast

Democrats have a 100% chance to control the House

260DemocratsDem seats
218 to win
218to win
RepublicansRep seats175
212 current Democratic seats219 current Republican seats
Timeline
Live
Races by rating
Safe Democratic
Total 259
AL-02
D100%
AL-07
D100%
AZ-01
D100%
AZ-03
D100%
AZ-04
D100%
AZ-06
D99%
AZ-07
D100%
CA-01
D100%
CA-02
D100%
CA-03
D100%
CA-04
D100%
CA-06
D100%
CA-07
D100%
CA-08
D100%
CA-09
D100%
CA-10
D100%
CA-11
D100%
CA-12
D100%
CA-13
D100%
CA-14
D100%
CA-15
D100%
CA-16
D100%
CA-17
D100%
CA-18
D100%
CA-19
D100%
CA-21
D100%
CA-22
D100%
CA-24
D100%
CA-25
D100%
CA-26
D100%
CA-27
D100%
CA-28
D100%
CA-29
D100%
CA-30
D100%
CA-31
D100%
CA-32
D100%
CA-33
D100%
CA-34
D100%
CA-35
D100%
CA-36
D100%
CA-37
D100%
CA-38
D100%
CA-39
D100%
CA-41
D100%
CA-42
D100%
CA-43
D100%
CA-44
D100%
CA-45
D100%
CA-46
D100%
CA-47
D100%
CA-48
D100%
CA-49
D100%
CA-50
D100%
CA-51
D100%
CA-52
D100%
CO-01
D100%
CO-02
D100%
CO-04
D93%
CO-05
D99%
CO-06
D100%
CO-07
D100%
CO-08
D100%
CT-01
D100%
CT-02
D100%
CT-03
D100%
CT-04
D100%
CT-05
D100%
DE-AL
D100%
FL-09
D99%
FL-10
D100%
FL-14
D100%
FL-20
D100%
FL-22
D100%
FL-23
D100%
FL-24
D100%
FL-25
D100%
GA-02
D100%
GA-04
D100%
GA-05
D100%
GA-06
D100%
GA-13
D100%
HI-01
D100%
HI-02
D100%
IA-01
D100%
IA-02
D100%
IA-03
D100%
IL-01
D100%
IL-02
D100%
IL-03
D100%
IL-04
D100%
IL-05
D100%
IL-06
D100%
IL-07
D100%
IL-08
D100%
IL-09
D100%
IL-10
D100%
IL-11
D100%
IL-13
D100%
IL-14
D100%
IL-17
D100%
IN-01
D100%
IN-05
D100%
IN-07
D100%
KS-03
D100%
KY-03
D100%
KY-06
D100%
LA-02
D100%
MA-01
D100%
MA-02
D100%
MA-03
D100%
MA-04
D100%
MA-05
D100%
MA-06
D100%
MA-07
D100%
MA-08
D100%
MA-09
D100%
MD-02
D100%
MD-03
D100%
MD-04
D100%
MD-05
D100%
MD-06
D100%
MD-07
D100%
MD-08
D100%
ME-01
D100%
MI-03
D100%
MI-04
D100%
MI-06
D100%
MI-07
D100%
MI-08
D100%
MI-10
D100%
MI-11
D100%
MI-12
D100%
MI-13
D100%
MN-01
D95%
MN-02
D100%
MN-03
D100%
MN-04
D100%
MN-05
D100%
MO-01
D100%
MO-02
D100%
MO-05
D100%
MS-02
D100%
MT-01
D99%
NC-01
D100%
NC-02
D100%
NC-04
D100%
NC-05
D94%
NC-06
D100%
NC-09
D99%
NC-11
D100%
NC-12
D100%
NC-13
D100%
NC-14
D99%
NE-02
D100%
NH-01
D100%
NH-02
D100%
NJ-01
D100%
NJ-02
D99%
NJ-03
D100%
NJ-05
D100%
NJ-06
D100%
NJ-07
D100%
NJ-08
D100%
NJ-09
D100%
NJ-10
D100%
NJ-11
D100%
NJ-12
D100%
NM-01
D100%
NM-02
D100%
NM-03
D100%
NV-01
D100%
NV-02
D100%
NV-03
D100%
NV-04
D100%
NY-03
D100%
NY-04
D100%
NY-05
D100%
NY-06
D100%
NY-07
D100%
NY-08
D100%
NY-09
D100%
NY-10
D100%
NY-12
D100%
NY-13
D100%
NY-14
D100%
NY-15
D100%
NY-16
D100%
NY-17
D100%
NY-18
D100%
NY-19
D100%
NY-20
D100%
NY-22
D100%
NY-25
D100%
NY-26
D100%
OH-01
D100%
OH-03
D100%
OH-07
D100%
OH-09
D100%
OH-10
D99%
OH-11
D100%
OH-13
D100%
OH-15
D100%
OR-01
D100%
OR-03
D100%
OR-04
D100%
OR-05
D100%
OR-06
D100%
PA-01
D100%
PA-02
D100%
PA-03
D100%
PA-04
D100%
PA-05
D100%
PA-06
D100%
PA-07
D100%
PA-08
D100%
PA-10
D100%
PA-12
D100%
PA-17
D100%
RI-01
D100%
RI-02
D100%
SC-01
D99%
SC-06
D100%
TN-04
D95%
TX-07
D100%
TX-09
D100%
TX-15
D100%
TX-16
D100%
TX-18
D100%
TX-20
D100%
TX-23
D100%
TX-28
D100%
TX-29
D100%
TX-30
D100%
TX-33
D100%
TX-34
D100%
TX-35
D100%
TX-37
D100%
UT-01
D100%
VA-01
D98%
VA-02
D100%
VA-03
D100%
VA-04
D100%
VA-07
D100%
VA-08
D100%
VA-10
D100%
VA-11
D100%
VT-AL
D100%
WA-01
D100%
WA-02
D100%
WA-03
D100%
WA-06
D100%
WA-07
D100%
WA-08
D100%
WA-09
D100%
WA-10
D100%
WI-01
D100%
WI-02
D100%
WI-03
D100%
WI-04
D100%
Likely Democratic
Total 0
No races
Lean Democratic
Total 1
NC-03
D70%
Toss-up
Total 0Dem 0Rep 0
No races
Lean Republican
Total 1
AZ-02
R74%
Likely Republican
Total 2
CA-23
R81%
WA-05
R87%
Safe Republican
Total 172
AK-AL
R95%
AL-01
R100%
AL-03
R100%
AL-04
R100%
AL-05
R100%
AL-06
R100%
AR-01
R100%
AR-02
R99%
AR-03
R100%
AR-04
R100%
AZ-05
R95%
AZ-08
R97%
AZ-09
R100%
CA-05
R100%
CA-20
R100%
CA-40
R100%
CO-03
R99%
FL-01
R100%
FL-02
R100%
FL-03
R100%
FL-04
R100%
FL-05
R100%
FL-06
R100%
FL-07
R98%
FL-08
R100%
FL-11
R100%
FL-12
R100%
FL-13
R98%
FL-15
R100%
FL-16
R100%
FL-17
R100%
FL-18
R100%
FL-19
R100%
FL-21
R100%
FL-26
R95%
FL-27
R94%
FL-28
R100%
GA-01
R100%
GA-03
R100%
GA-07
R100%
GA-08
R100%
GA-09
R100%
GA-10
R100%
GA-11
R100%
GA-12
R100%
GA-14
R100%
IA-04
R100%
ID-01
R100%
ID-02
R100%
IL-12
R100%
IL-15
R100%
IL-16
R100%
IN-02
R100%
IN-03
R100%
IN-04
R100%
IN-06
R100%
IN-08
R100%
IN-09
R100%
KS-01
R100%
KS-02
R100%
KS-04
R100%
KY-01
R100%
KY-02
R100%
KY-04
R100%
KY-05
R100%
LA-01
R100%
LA-03
R100%
LA-04
R100%
LA-05
R92%
LA-06
R93%
MD-01
R100%
ME-02
R99%
MI-01
R100%
MI-02
R100%
MI-05
R100%
MI-09
R100%
MN-06
R100%
MN-07
R100%
MN-08
R100%
MO-03
R100%
MO-04
R100%
MO-06
R100%
MO-07
R100%
MO-08
R100%
MS-01
R100%
MS-03
R100%
MS-04
R100%
MT-02
R100%
NC-07
R99%
NC-08
R97%
NC-10
R100%
ND-AL
R100%
NE-01
R100%
NE-03
R100%
NJ-04
R100%
NY-01
R98%
NY-02
R99%
NY-11
R100%
NY-21
R99%
NY-23
R100%
NY-24
R100%
OH-02
R100%
OH-04
R100%
OH-05
R100%
OH-06
R100%
OH-08
R100%
OH-12
R100%
OH-14
R100%
OK-01
R100%
OK-02
R100%
OK-03
R100%
OK-04
R100%
OK-05
R100%
OR-02
R100%
PA-09
R100%
PA-11
R100%
PA-13
R100%
PA-14
R100%
PA-15
R100%
PA-16
R100%
SC-02
R100%
SC-03
R100%
SC-04
R100%
SC-05
R100%
SC-07
R100%
SD-AL
R100%
TN-01
R100%
TN-02
R100%
TN-03
R100%
TN-05
R100%
TN-06
R100%
TN-07
R97%
TN-08
R100%
TN-09
R99%
TX-01
R100%
TX-02
R100%
TX-03
R100%
TX-04
R100%
TX-05
R100%
TX-06
R100%
TX-08
R100%
TX-10
R100%
TX-11
R100%
TX-12
R100%
TX-13
R100%
TX-14
R100%
TX-17
R100%
TX-19
R100%
TX-21
R100%
TX-22
R100%
TX-24
R100%
TX-25
R100%
TX-26
R100%
TX-27
R100%
TX-31
R100%
TX-32
R100%
TX-36
R100%
TX-38
R100%
UT-02
R99%
UT-03
R100%
UT-04
R100%
VA-05
R99%
VA-06
R100%
VA-09
R100%
WA-04
R100%
WI-05
R100%
WI-06
R100%
WI-07
R100%
WI-08
R100%
WV-01
R100%
WV-02
R100%
WY-AL
R100%
NC-03
Live
D
Raymond Smith Jr.Smith
R
Greg MurphyMurphy*
69%
31%
Live
TX-15
Live
D
Bobby PulidoPulido
R
Monica De La CruzCruz*
100%
0%
Live
NY-17
Live
D
Cait ConleyConley
R
Mike LawlerLawler*
100%
Projected marginD +6.3
0%
Live
Projected marginD +6.3
TX-23
Live
D
Katy Padilla StoutStout
R
Brandon HerreraHerrera
99%
1%
Live
MN-05
Live
D
Ilhan OmarOmar*
I
DeVelle JacksonJackson
99%
Projected marginD +61.4
1%
Live
Projected marginD +61.4
VA-05
Live
D
Tom PerrielloPerriello
R
John McGuireMcGuire*
1%
Projected marginR +2.4
99%
Live
Projected marginR +2.4
NV-02
Live
D
Teresa Benitez-ThompsonBenitez-Thompson
R
David FlippoFlippo
100%
0%
Live
MT-01
Live
D
Sam ForstagForstag
R
Aaron FlintFlint
100%
Projected marginD +4.6
0%
Live
Projected marginD +4.6
AZ-02
Live
D
Jonathan NezNez
R
Eli CraneCrane*
28%
Projected marginD +0.6
72%
Live
Projected marginD +0.6
IN-05
Live
D
J.D. FordFord
R
Victoria SpartzSpartz*
100%
0%
Live
FL-25
Live
D
Jared MoskowitzMoskowitz
R
Scott SingerSinger
99%
1%
Live
NJ-02
Live
D
Zack MullockMullock
R
Jeff Van DrewDrew*
100%
Projected marginD +2.9
0%
Live
Projected marginD +2.9
NC-13
Live
D
Paul BarringerBarringer
R
Brad KnottKnott*
100%
0%
Live
VA-01
Live
D
Shannon TaylorTaylor
R
Rob WittmanWittman*
100%
0%
Live
TN-09
Live
D
Justin J. PearsonPearson
R
Brent TaylorTaylor
0%
100%
Live
NC-01
Live
D
Don DavisDavis*
R
Laurie BuckhoutBuckhout
100%
0%
Live
NC-09
Live
D
Richard OjedaOjeda
R
Richard HudsonHudson*
100%
0%
Live
NC-11
Live
D
Jamie AgerAger
R
Jennifer BalkcomBalkcom
100%
0%
Live
ME-02
Live
D
Matt DunlapDunlap
R
Paul LePageLePage
0%
100%
Live
CO-04
Live
D
Eileen LaubacherLaubacher
R
Lauren BoebertBoebert*
93%
7%
Live
1–5 of 435
Showing 5 of 435
Projected flip races
CA-01
Live
D
Mike McGuireMcGuire
R
James GallagherGallagher*
100%
Projected marginD +16.5
0%
Live
Projected marginD +16.5
CA-22
Live
D
Randy VillegasVillegas
R
David ValadaoValadao*
100%
0%
Live
CA-41
Live
D
Linda SánchezSánchez
R
Mitch ClemmonsClemmons
100%
0%
Live
CA-48
Live
D
Marni von WilpertWilpert
R
Jim DesmondDesmond
100%
0%
Live
CO-08
Live
D
Manny RutinelRutinel
R
Gabe EvansEvans*
100%
Projected marginD +14.4
0%
Live
Projected marginD +14.4
More markets
85 events
MarketPays outOdds

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

LIVEMayor
$142,309,057 vol
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
1.01x
Karen Bass
Karen Bass
--

Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)

LIVEUS Elections
$111,497 vol
Nithya Raman, ≥10%
1.31x
Nithya Raman, ≥8%
1.20x

California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)

·US Elections
$77,454 vol
No, ≥10%
2.01x
No, ≥7%
1.19x

Blue wave this year?

LIVESenate
$12,631,745 vol
Yes
1.01x
No
93.5x

Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities this year?

LIVEUS Elections
$34,951 vol
Utah Senate
1.04x
Missouri House
10.4x

Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?

·Referendums
$180,369 vol
Proposition 136
31.2x
Proposition 135
1.02x

Where will Democrats win state legislative supermajorities this year?

LIVEUS Elections
$34,909 vol
Washington House
1.08x
Vermont House
1.04x

North Carolina State Senate winner?

·US Elections
$108,624 vol
Republican party
Republican party
1.02x
Democratic party
Democratic party
23.4x

Blue tsunami this year?

LIVESenate
$3,249,693 vol
Yes
1.01x
No
93.5x

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

·US Elections
$4,101,646 vol
Yes
93.5x
No
--

Which ballot measures will pass in California?

LIVEReferendums
$81,154 vol
Proposition 5
1.13x
Proposition 4
3.29x

Which ballot measures will pass in Rhode Island?

·Referendums
$25,131 vol
Economic & Infrastructure Bond
46.8x
Historical Center & Cultural Grants Bond
1.67x

Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?

LIVESenate
$1,370,236 vol
Yes
1.01x
No
46.8x

Nevada State Assembly winner?

LIVEUS Elections
$25,580 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
1.02x
Republican party
Republican party
31.2x

Texas State Senate winner?

LIVEUS Elections
$459,710 vol
Republican party
Republican party
1.01x
Democratic party
Democratic party
46.8x

Georgia State Senate winner?

LIVEUS Elections
$14,942 vol
Republican party
Republican party
1.06x
Democratic party
Democratic party
13.4x

Alaska State House winner?

LIVEUS Elections
$9,957 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
1.70x
Republican party
Republican party
1.70x

Which ballot measures will pass in Massachusetts?

·Referendums
$48,114 vol
Question 7
4.73x
Question 5
46.8x

New York City mayoral election winner?

·US Elections
$20,172 vol
Zohran Mamdani
Zohran Mamdani
1.13x
Eric Adams
Eric Adams
18.8x

Which ballot measures will pass in Arizona?

·Referendums
$79,733 vol
Proposition 320
1.86x
Proposition 144
31.2x

How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress this year?

LIVEMixed Combos
$27,021 vol
At least 3
1.06x
At least 5
1.05x

Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco?

LIVEReferendums
$3,646 vol
Proposition I
1.40x
Proposition G
46.8x

New Hampshire State House winner?

LIVEUS Elections
$14,027 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
1.03x
Republican party
Republican party
18.8x

Michigan State Senate winner?

LIVEUS Elections
$58,166 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
93.5x