Cash

Trending

Elections

Politics Culture Sports Crypto Commodities Climate Economics Mentions Finance Tech & Science

Predict Live125 AccountSocial

2026 Midterms

Product

Kalshi Pro Perpetual Futures Markets Incentive program Institutions API & developers

Company

About Kalshi Research Blog Careers Policy Center Brand Kit

Help

Help Center FAQ Fee schedule Trading hours Regulatory Trust Center

Privacy Data Terms of Service Trading Prohibitions FAQ for Finance Professionals

Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

International elections

Brazil

Referendums

2026 Midterms

Product

Kalshi Pro Perpetual Futures Markets Incentive program Institutions API & developers

Company

About Kalshi Research Blog Careers Policy Center Brand Kit

Help

Help Center FAQ Fee schedule Trading hours Regulatory Trust Center

Privacy Data Terms of Service Trading Prohibitions FAQ for Finance Professionals

International elections

International elections

Brazil

Referendums

2026 Midterms

Key races

Texas Senate winner?

Nov 3

Talarico62%

Paxton38%

Projected marginD +1.7

Maine Senate winner?

Nov 3

Jackson57%

Collins43%

Projected marginD +1.2

Ohio Senate winner?

Nov 3

Brown59%

Husted41%

Projected marginD +1.9

Michigan Senate winner?

Nov 3

El-Sayed66%

Rogers34%

Projected marginD +2.5

Iowa Senate winner?

Nov 3

Turek43%

Hinson57%

Projected marginR +0.7

Kansas Senate winner?

Nov 3

Hamilton37%

Marshall63%

Alaska Senate winner?

Nov 4

Democrat73%

Republican27%

Nebraska Senate winner?

Nov 3

Osborn27%

Ricketts73%

Projected marginR +3.6

Ohio Governor winner?

Nov 3

Acton68%

Ramaswamy32%

Projected marginD +3.4

Georgia Governor winner?

Nov 3

Bottoms45%

Jackson55%

Projected marginR +0.8

Nevada Governor winner?

Nov 3

Ford51%

Lombardo49%

Projected marginD +0.2

FL-14 House winner?

Nov 3

Castor67%

Beltran33%

Projected marginD +4.7

International elections

Brazil

Referendums

Key races

Texas Senate winner?

Nov 3

Talarico62%

Paxton38%

Projected marginD +1.7

Maine Senate winner?

Nov 3

Jackson57%

Collins43%

Projected marginD +1.2

Ohio Senate winner?

Nov 3

Brown59%

Husted41%

Projected marginD +1.9

Michigan Senate winner?

Nov 3

El-Sayed66%

Rogers34%

Projected marginD +2.5

Iowa Senate winner?

Nov 3

Turek43%

Hinson57%

Projected marginR +0.7

Kansas Senate winner?

Nov 3

Hamilton37%

Marshall63%

Alaska Senate winner?

Nov 4

Democrat73%

Republican27%

Nebraska Senate winner?

Nov 3

Osborn27%

Ricketts73%

Projected marginR +3.6

Ohio Governor winner?

Nov 3

Acton68%

Ramaswamy32%

Projected marginD +3.4

Georgia Governor winner?

Nov 3

Bottoms45%

Jackson55%

Projected marginR +0.8

Nevada Governor winner?

Nov 3

Ford51%

Lombardo49%

Projected marginD +0.2

FL-14 House winner?

Nov 3

Castor67%

Beltran33%

Projected marginD +4.7

Senate House Governor States Balance of Power

Key races

Senate

Texas Senate winner?

James Talarico

1.55x

Ken Paxton

2.52x

$23,794,408 vol2 markets

Governor

Texas Governor winner?

Greg Abbott

1.22x

Gina Hinojosa

4.73x

$1,929,657 vol2 markets

US Elections

Texas State House winner?

Republican party

1.22x

Democratic party

4.98x

$6,200 vol2 markets

US Elections

Texas State Senate winner?

Republican party

1.06x

Democratic party

13.4x

$20,583 vol2 markets

US Elections

Texas House of Representatives winner

Republican Party

1.26x

Democratic Party

5.25x

$5,338 vol2 markets

House

How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?

3.80x

4.31x

$48,410 vol8 markets

Attorney General

Texas Attorney General winner?

Mayes Middleton

1.34x

Nathan Johnson

3.80x

$14,705 vol2 markets

US Elections

Texas Lieutenant Governor winner?

Dan Patrick

1.36x

Vikki Goodwin

2.98x

$31,665 vol2 markets

US Elections

Texas Commissioner of Agriculture winner?

Nate Sheets

1.42x

Clayton Tucker

2.46x

$6,322 vol2 markets

US Elections

Texas Comptroller winner?

Don Huffines

1.18x

Sarah Eckhardt

3.66x

$150 vol2 markets

US Elections

Texas Land Commissioner winner?

Dawn Buckingham

1.16x

Benjamin Flores

3.80x

$5 vol2 markets

US Elections

Texas Railroad Commissioner winner

Jon Rosenthal

1.70x

Bo French

2.09x

$137,727 vol2 markets

US Elections

Texas Supreme Court Place 2 winner?

James P. Sullivan

1.05x

Chari Kelly

6.29x

$0 vol2 markets

US Elections

Texas Supreme Court Place 7 winner?

Kyle Hawkins

1.12x

Kristen Hawkins

4.51x

$188 vol2 markets

US Elections

Texas Supreme Court Place 8 winner?

Brett Busby

1.10x

Gisela D. Triana

4.73x

$0 vol2 markets

US Elections

Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice winner?

Jimmy Blacklock

1.34x

Maggie Ellis

2.66x

$200 vol2 markets

US Elections

Bexar County Judge winner?

Ron Nirenberg

1.01x

Patrick Von Dohlen

31.2x

$31,782 vol2 markets

US Elections

Bexar County District Attorney winner?

Luz Elena Chapa

1.12x

Ashley Foster

1.02x

$957 vol3 markets

US Elections

Collin County Judge winner?

Chris Hill

1.25x

John Brown

3.08x

$551 vol2 markets

US Elections

Denton County Judge winner?

Andy Eads

1.10x

Nick Pappas

9.41x

$15,927 vol2 markets

US Elections

El Paso County Judge winner?

Ricardo Samaniego

1.01x

Minerva Torres Shelton

31.2x

$15,508 vol2 markets

US Elections

Fort Bend County Judge winner?

Dexter McCoy

1.18x

Daniel Wong

5.25x

$2,987 vol2 markets

US Elections

Harris County Judge winner?

Letitia Plummer

1.12x

Orlando Sanchez

7.85x

$4,647 vol2 markets

US Elections

Montgomery County, TX Judge winner?

Mark Keough

1.03x

James Graf

15.6x

$13,849 vol2 markets

US Elections

Tarrant County Judge winner?

Alisa Simmons

1.60x

Tim O’Hare

2.01x

$1,866 vol2 markets

US Elections

Williamson County Judge winner?

Heather Jefts

1.33x

Steven Snell

3.80x

$432 vol2 markets

Referendums

Will League City vote to keep its Flock cameras?

Yes

1.55x

2.09x

$255 vol1 market

Senate

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Blexas)

Yes

1.44x

2.89x

$26,669 vol1 market

Senate

Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo

Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico

1.93x

Bo French & Ken Paxton

2.59x

$23,555 vol4 markets

Texas Elections

Texas Governor-Senate combo

Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton win

2.24x

Greg Abbott and James Talarico win

2.52x

$47,961 vol4 markets

US Elections

How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win this year?

At least 2

1.70x

At least 3

2.29x

$1,317 vol7 markets

House

TX-01 House winner?

Nathaniel Moran

1.01x

Yolanda R. Prince

31.2x

$8,433 vol2 markets

House

TX-02 House winner?

Steve Toth

1.08x

Shaun Finnie

13.4x

$1,469 vol2 markets

House

TX-03 House winner?

Keith Self

1.02x

Evan Hunt

18.8x

$15,872 vol2 markets

House

TX-04 House winner?

Pat Fallon

1.04x

Jason Pearce

18.8x

$4,263 vol2 markets

House

TX-05 House winner?

Lance Gooden

1.01x

Chelsey Hockett

46.8x

$5,389 vol2 markets

House

TX-06 House winner?

Jake Ellzey

1.04x

Danny Minton

15.6x

$2,789 vol2 markets

House

TX-07 House winner?

Lizzie Fletcher

1.03x

Alexander Hale

31.2x

$39,753 vol2 markets

House

TX-08 House winner?

Jessica Steinmann

1.03x

Laura Jones

23.4x

$22,706 vol2 markets

House

TX-09 House winner?

Alex Mealer

1.20x

Leticia Gutierrez

4.73x

$23,728 vol2 markets

House

TX-10 House winner?

Chris Gober

1.08x

Caitlin Rourk

11.7x

$8,553 vol2 markets

House

TX-11 House winner?

August Pfluger

1.04x

Claire Reynolds

13.4x

$1,212 vol2 markets

House

TX-12 House winner?

Craig Goldman

1.03x

Angela Rodriguez Prilliman

18.8x

$6,864 vol2 markets

House

TX-13 House winner?

Ronny Jackson

1.04x

Mark Nair

31.2x

$25,068 vol2 markets

House

TX-14 House winner?

Randy Weber

1.03x

Thurman Bartie

23.4x

$4,675 vol2 markets

House

TX-15 House winner?

Bobby Pulido

1.19x

Monica De La Cruz

5.25x

$2,354,871 vol2 markets

House

TX-16 House winner?

Veronica Escobar

1.02x

Adam Bauman

31.2x

$646 vol2 markets

House

TX-17 House winner?

Pete Sessions

1.04x

Casey Shepard

18.8x

$30,055 vol2 markets

House

TX-18 House winner?

Christian Menefee

1.01x

Ronald Whitfield

18.8x

$1,180 vol2 markets

House

TX-19 House winner?

Tom Sell

1.02x

Kyle Rable

31.2x

$6,428 vol2 markets

House

TX-20 House winner?

Joaquin Castro

1.04x

Edgardo Baez

18.8x

$1,161 vol2 markets

House

TX-21 House winner?

Mark Teixeira

1.04x

Kristin Hook

18.8x

$10,922 vol2 markets

House

TX-22 House winner?

Trever Nehls

1.04x

Marquette Greene-Scott

18.8x

$4,841 vol2 markets

House

TX-23 House winner?

Brandon Herrera

1.50x

Katy Padilla Stout

2.59x

$180,770 vol2 markets

House

TX-24 House winner?

Beth Van Duyne

1.03x

Kevin Burge

15.6x

$26,965 vol2 markets

House

TX-25 House winner?

Roger Williams

1.03x

Dione Sims

23.4x

$4,048 vol2 markets

House

TX-26 House winner?

Brandon Gill

1.03x

Steven Shook

23.4x

$19,991 vol2 markets

House

TX-27 House winner?

Michael Cloud

1.05x

Tanya Lloyd

18.8x

$9,089 vol2 markets

House

TX-28 House winner?

Henry Cuellar

1.12x

Tano Tijerina

7.85x

$197,628 vol2 markets

House

TX-29 House winner?

Sylvia Garcia

1.03x

Martha Fierro

46.8x

$2,021 vol2 markets

House

TX-30 House winner?

Frederick Haynes III

1.01x

Everett Jackson

31.2x

$4,152 vol2 markets

House

TX-31 House winner?

John Carter

1.04x

Justin Early

15.6x

$5,703 vol2 markets

House

TX-32 House winner?

Jace Yarbrough

1.12x

Dan Barrios

7.85x

$29,382 vol2 markets

House

TX-33 House winner?

Colin Allred

1.02x

Patrick David Gillespie

18.8x

$746 vol2 markets

House

TX-34 House winner?

Vicente Gonzalez

1.16x

Eric Flores

5.56x

$66,972 vol2 markets

House

TX-35 House winner?

Johnny C. Garcia

1.55x

Carlos De La Cruz

2.46x

$170,675 vol2 markets

House

TX-36 House winner?

Brian Babin

1.04x

Rhonda Hart

18.8x

$6,222 vol2 markets

House

TX-37 House winner?

Greg Casar

1.02x

Lauren B. Peña

31.2x

$2,301 vol2 markets

House

TX-38 House winner?

Jon Bonck

1.02x

Melissa McDonough

15.6x

$7,594 vol2 markets