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2026 Midterms
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Referendums

2026 Midterm Election Predictions

2 daysto Election

OverviewSenateHouseGovernorStatesMy Ballot
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
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Governor
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Referendums
Key races

Texas Senate winner?

Nov 3
Talarico68%
Paxton32%
Projected marginD +2.2

Michigan Senate winner?

Nov 3
El-Sayed72%
Rogers28%
Projected marginD +2.8

Maine Senate winner?

Nov 3
Jackson68%
Collins32%
Projected marginD +2.3

Texas Governor winner?

Nov 3
Hinojosa34%
Abbott66%
Projected marginR +3.4

Ohio Senate winner?

Nov 3
Brown70%
Husted30%
Projected marginD +3.6

Florida Governor winner?

Nov 3
Jolly36%
Donalds64%
Projected marginR +3.0

South Carolina Senate winner?

Nov 3
Andrews27%
Graham73%
Projected marginR +2.8

Iowa Senate winner?

Nov 3
Turek43%
Hinson57%
Projected marginR +1.2

Kansas Senate winner?

Nov 3
Hamilton51%
Marshall49%
Projected marginD +0.3

Ohio Governor winner?

Nov 3
Acton79%
Ramaswamy21%
Projected marginD +4.2

New York Governor winner?

Nov 3
Hochul96%
Blakeman4%
Projected marginD +14.5

Minnesota Senate winner?

Nov 3
Flanagan91%
Tafoya9%
Projected marginD +7.6
Key races

Texas Senate winner?

James Talarico
James Talarico
1.42x
Ken Paxton
Ken Paxton
2.98x
$64,401,388 vol

Texas Governor winner?

Greg Abbott
Greg Abbott
1.46x
Gina Hinojosa
Gina Hinojosa
2.81x
$13,129,642 vol

Texas State House winner?

Republican party
Republican party
1.36x
Democratic party
Democratic party
3.80x
$36,157 vol

Texas State Senate winner?

Republican party
Republican party
1.03x
Democratic party
Democratic party
18.8x
$50,640 vol

Texas House of Representatives winner

Republican Party
Republican Party
1.29x
Democratic Party
Democratic Party
3.96x
$11,187 vol

How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?

13
2.98x
12
3.80x
$68,628 vol

Texas Attorney General winner?

Mayes Middleton
Mayes Middleton
1.31x
Nathan Johnson
Nathan Johnson
3.66x
$38,656 vol

Texas Lieutenant Governor winner?

Dan Patrick
Dan Patrick
1.28x
Vikki Goodwin
Vikki Goodwin
3.66x
$70,933 vol

Texas Commissioner of Agriculture winner?

Nate Sheets
Nate Sheets
1.67x
Clayton Tucker
Clayton Tucker
2.05x
$11,791 vol

Texas Comptroller winner?

Don Huffines
Don Huffines
1.16x
Sarah Eckhardt
Sarah Eckhardt
4.73x
$1,725 vol

Texas Land Commissioner winner?

Dawn Buckingham
Dawn Buckingham
1.15x
Benjamin Flores
Benjamin Flores
3.96x
$257 vol

Texas Railroad Commissioner winner

Jon Rosenthal
Jon Rosenthal
1.70x
Bo French
Bo French
2.19x
$216,588 vol

Texas Supreme Court Place 2 winner?

James P. Sullivan
James P. Sullivan
1.12x
Chari Kelly
Chari Kelly
4.51x
$143 vol

Texas Supreme Court Place 7 winner?

Kyle Hawkins
Kyle Hawkins
1.16x
Kristen Hawkins
Kristen Hawkins
3.96x
$394 vol

Texas Supreme Court Place 8 winner?

Brett Busby
Brett Busby
1.13x
Gisela D. Triana
Gisela D. Triana
4.73x
$2,238 vol

Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice winner?

Jimmy Blacklock
Jimmy Blacklock
1.19x
Maggie Ellis
Maggie Ellis
3.52x
$1,202 vol

Bexar County Judge winner?

Ron Nirenberg
Ron Nirenberg
1.01x
Patrick Von Dohlen
Patrick Von Dohlen
23.4x
$32,289 vol

Bexar County District Attorney winner?

Luz Elena Chapa
Luz Elena Chapa
1.02x
Ashley Foster
Ashley Foster
11.7x
$1,370 vol

Collin County Judge winner?

Chris Hill
Chris Hill
1.18x
John Brown
John Brown
4.13x
$3,012 vol

Denton County Judge winner?

Andy Eads
Andy Eads
1.12x
Nick Pappas
Nick Pappas
9.41x
$15,960 vol

El Paso County Judge winner?

Ricardo Samaniego
Ricardo Samaniego
1.01x
Minerva Torres Shelton
Minerva Torres Shelton
31.2x
$16,610 vol

Fort Bend County Judge winner?

Dexter McCoy
Dexter McCoy
1.06x
Daniel Wong
Daniel Wong
6.29x
$4,975 vol

Harris County Judge winner?

Letitia Plummer
Letitia Plummer
1.08x
Orlando Sanchez
Orlando Sanchez
6.74x
$8,470 vol

Montgomery County, TX Judge winner?

Mark Keough
Mark Keough
1.01x
James Graf
James Graf
13.4x
$14,075 vol

Tarrant County Judge winner?

Alisa Simmons
Alisa Simmons
1.93x
Tim O'Hare
Tim O’Hare
1.93x
$10,565 vol

Williamson County Judge winner?

Heather Jefts
Heather Jefts
1.70x
Steven Snell
Steven Snell
1.90x
$3,995 vol

Will League City vote to keep its Flock cameras?

Yes
1.36x
No
2.81x
$1,385 vol

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Blexas)

Yes
1.23x
No
4.13x
$45,830 vol

Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo

Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico
1.97x
Bo French & Ken Paxton
2.46x
$38,020 vol

Texas Governor-Senate combo

Greg Abbott and James Talarico win
2.24x
Gina Hinojosa and James Talarico win
2.98x
$894,306 vol

How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win this year?

At least 2
1.76x
At least 3
2.29x
$2,061 vol

TX-01 House winner?

Nathaniel Moran
Nathaniel Moran
1.01x
Yolanda R. Prince
Yolanda R. Prince
31.2x
$9,124 vol

TX-02 House winner?

Steve Toth
Steve Toth
1.07x
Shaun Finnie
Shaun Finnie
13.4x
$2,653 vol

TX-03 House winner?

Keith Self
Keith Self
1.07x
Evan Hunt
Evan Hunt
15.6x
$20,265 vol

TX-04 House winner?

Pat Fallon
Pat Fallon
1.03x
Jason Pearce
Jason Pearce
31.2x
$5,635 vol

TX-05 House winner?

Lance Gooden
Lance Gooden
1.04x
Chelsey Hockett
Chelsey Hockett
18.8x
$6,143 vol

TX-06 House winner?

Jake Ellzey
Jake Ellzey
1.02x
Danny Minton
Danny Minton
46.8x
$7,759 vol

TX-07 House winner?

Lizzie Fletcher
Lizzie Fletcher
1.03x
Alexander Hale
Alexander Hale
46.8x
$50,431 vol

TX-08 House winner?

Jessica Steinmann
Jessica Steinmann
1.03x
Laura Jones
Laura Jones
23.4x
$23,472 vol

TX-09 House winner?

Alex Mealer
Alex Mealer
1.29x
Leticia Gutierrez
Leticia Gutierrez
3.80x
$76,633 vol

TX-10 House winner?

Chris Gober
Chris Gober
1.08x
Caitlin Rourk
Caitlin Rourk
11.7x
$9,692 vol

TX-11 House winner?

August Pfluger
August Pfluger
1.03x
Claire Reynolds
Claire Reynolds
31.2x
$4,279 vol

TX-12 House winner?

Craig Goldman
Craig Goldman
1.03x
Angela Rodriguez Prilliman
Angela Rodriguez Prilliman
23.4x
$10,123 vol

TX-13 House winner?

Ronny Jackson
Ronny Jackson
1.01x
Mark Nair
Mark Nair
46.8x
$26,158 vol

TX-14 House winner?

Randy Weber
Randy Weber
1.03x
Thurman Bartie
Thurman Bartie
23.4x
$5,546 vol

TX-15 House winner?

Bobby Pulido
Bobby Pulido
1.10x
Monica De La Cruz
Monica De La Cruz
7.85x
$3,865,540 vol

TX-16 House winner?

Veronica Escobar
Veronica Escobar
1.02x
Adam Bauman
Adam Bauman
31.2x
$1,316 vol

TX-17 House winner?

Pete Sessions
Pete Sessions
1.03x
Casey Shepard
Casey Shepard
31.2x
$34,383 vol

TX-18 House winner?

Christian Menefee
Christian Menefee
1.01x
Ronald Whitfield
Ronald Whitfield
93.5x
$1,616 vol

TX-19 House winner?

Tom Sell
Tom Sell
1.02x
Kyle Rable
Kyle Rable
31.2x
$7,070 vol

TX-20 House winner?

Joaquin Castro
Joaquin Castro
1.02x
Edgardo Baez
Edgardo Baez
31.2x
$2,649 vol

TX-21 House winner?

Mark Teixeira
Mark Teixeira
1.02x
Kristin Hook
Kristin Hook
46.8x
$16,277 vol

TX-22 House winner?

Trever Nehls
Trever Nehls
1.05x
Marquette Greene-Scott
Marquette Greene-Scott
18.8x
$5,572 vol

TX-23 House winner?

Brandon Herrera
Brandon Herrera
1.79x
Katy Padilla Stout
Katy Padilla Stout
2.09x
$892,595 vol

TX-24 House winner?

Beth Van Duyne
Beth Van Duyne
1.05x
Kevin Burge
Kevin Burge
18.8x
$43,782 vol

TX-25 House winner?

Roger Williams
Roger Williams
1.04x
Dione Sims
Dione Sims
23.4x
$22,748 vol

TX-26 House winner?

Brandon Gill
Brandon Gill
1.01x
Steven Shook
Steven Shook
46.8x
$21,882 vol

TX-27 House winner?

Michael Cloud
Michael Cloud
1.03x
Tanya Lloyd
Tanya Lloyd
46.8x
$15,769 vol

TX-28 House winner?

Henry Cuellar
Henry Cuellar
1.08x
Tano Tijerina
Tano Tijerina
11.7x
$262,635 vol

TX-29 House winner?

Sylvia Garcia
Sylvia Garcia
1.03x
Martha Fierro
Martha Fierro
23.4x
$2,742 vol

TX-30 House winner?

Frederick Haynes III
Frederick Haynes III
1.01x
Everett Jackson
Everett Jackson
46.8x
$5,044 vol

TX-31 House winner?

John Carter
John Carter
1.06x
Justin Early
Justin Early
13.4x
$16,024 vol

TX-32 House winner?

Jace Yarbrough
Jace Yarbrough
1.16x
Dan Barrios
Dan Barrios
5.90x
$41,457 vol

TX-33 House winner?

Colin Allred
Colin Allred
1.03x
Patrick David Gillespie
Patrick David Gillespie
31.2x
$2,797 vol

TX-34 House winner?

Vicente Gonzalez
Vicente Gonzalez
1.12x
Eric Flores
Eric Flores
8.56x
$134,607 vol

TX-35 House winner?

Johnny C. Garcia
Johnny C. Garcia
1.33x
Carlos De La Cruz
Carlos De La Cruz
3.80x
$360,760 vol

TX-36 House winner?

Brian Babin
Brian Babin
1.03x
Rhonda Hart
Rhonda Hart
31.2x
$6,762 vol

TX-37 House winner?

Greg Casar
Greg Casar
1.02x
Lauren B. Peña
Lauren B. Peña
46.8x
$3,487 vol

TX-38 House winner?

Jon Bonck
Jon Bonck
1.05x
Melissa McDonough
Melissa McDonough
23.4x
$11,106 vol