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2026 Midterms
Trending
Frequency
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Referendums
2026
Midterm Election Predictions
2 days
to Election
Overview
Senate
House
Governor
States
My Ballot
Senate
House
Governor
Map
Field
Combo builder
The “S&P” for politics, powered by Kalshi markets — one number to represent the shifts in political power.
Learn more
More markets
Senate control forecast
DEM
REP
70%
Leaning Dem
House control forecast
DEM
REP
93%
Safe Dem
Featured
Texas Senate winner?
Nov 3
Talarico
68%
Paxton
32%
Projected margin
D +2.6
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Nov 3
Karen Bass
58%
Nithya Raman
42%
$108,447,602 vol
Ohio Governor winner?
Nov 3
Acton
80%
Ramaswamy
20%
Projected margin
D +4.4
Florida Governor winner?
Nov 3
Jolly
37%
Donalds
63%
Projected margin
R +3.0
Maine Senate winner?
Nov 3
Jackson
69%
Collins
31%
Projected margin
D +2.6
Michigan Senate winner?
Nov 3
El-Sayed
71%
Rogers
29%
Projected margin
D +2.7
Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Nov 3
Democrats sweep
72%
D-House, R-Senate
28%
$89,150,243 vol
Who will control the Senate?
Nov 3
Democrat
70%
Republican
30%
$25,795,940 vol
Kansas Senate winner?
Nov 3
Hamilton
52%
Marshall
48%
Projected margin
D +0.6
Alaska Senate winner?
Nov 3
Democratic
72%
Republican
28%
Texas Governor winner?
Nov 3
Hinojosa
34%
Abbott
66%
Projected margin
R +3.3
Who will control the House?
Nov 3
Democrat
93%
Republican
7%
$92,351,947 vol
Show all 12 markets
Combos
$10 pays
$48
Combo · Blue Wave
Democratic Party (Who will control the Senate?)
5 more
$151,096 vol
$10 pays
$47
Combo · Blue Tsunami
Adam Hamilton (Kansas Senate winner?)
4 more
$13,311 vol
$10 pays
$2,778
Combo · Red Wave
Republican Party (Who will control the Senate?)
5 more
$53,427 vol
$10 pays
$490
Combo · Red Tsunami
Republican Party (Who will control the House?)
4 more
$129,061 vol
Show 1 more combos
160 events
Market
Pays out
Odds
Blue wave this year?
·
Senate
$4,068,439 vol
Yes
1.15
x
85
%
No
6.29
x
15
%
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
·
Mayor
$108,447,602 vol
Karen Bass
1.67
x
57
%
Nithya Raman
2.29
x
42
%
Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?
·
Senate
$488,513 vol
Yes
3.18
x
30
%
No
1.36
x
70
%
Blue tsunami this year?
·
Senate
$1,255,817 vol
Yes
1.52
x
63
%
No
2.59
x
37
%
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
·
US Elections
$1,975,353 vol
Yes
3.66
x
26
%
No
1.31
x
74
%
Midterms: Blue trickle?
·
Senate
$82,009 vol
Yes
1.06
x
93
%
No
13.4
x
7
%
Texas Attorney General winner?
·
Attorney General
$51,048 vol
Mayes Middleton
1.42
x
69
%
Nathan Johnson
2.98
x
32
%
Texas Railroad Commissioner winner
·
US Elections
$218,155 vol
Jon Rosenthal
1.70
x
57
%
Bo French
2.19
x
44
%
North Carolina State Senate winner?
·
US Elections
$60,502 vol
Republican party
1.42
x
69
%
Democratic party
3.40
x
27
%
Arizona State House winner?
·
US Elections
$24,610 vol
Democratic party
1.23
x
80
%
Republican party
5.90
x
16
%
New York Attorney General winner?
·
Attorney General
$1,650,275 vol
Letitia James
1.05
x
95
%
Saritha Komatireddy
18.8
x
5
%
Michigan Attorney General winner?
·
Attorney General
$33,772 vol
Eli Savit
1.20
x
81
%
Doug Lloyd
4.51
x
20
%
Minnesota Attorney General winner?
·
Attorney General
$215,785 vol
Keith Ellison
1.26
x
78
%
Ronald J. Schutz
4.13
x
22
%
Arizona State Senate winner?
·
US Elections
$43,197 vol
Democratic party
1.36
x
71
%
Republican party
5.25
x
18
%
Texas State House winner?
·
US Elections
$36,813 vol
Republican party
1.36
x
72
%
Democratic party
3.80
x
25
%
Will Florida’s property tax amendment pass?
·
Referendums
$85,563 vol
Yes
3.29
x
29
%
No
1.36
x
71
%
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)
·
US Elections
$34,546 vol
Nithya Raman, ≥2%
2.46
x
33
%
Nithya Raman, ≥4%
2.66
x
31
%
Iowa Attorney General winner?
·
Attorney General
$70,354 vol
Brenna Bird
1.31
x
74
%
Nate Willems
3.80
x
25
%
Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?
·
US Elections
$46,349 vol
Yes
5.56
x
14
%
No
1.15
x
86
%
Arizona Attorney General winner?
·
Attorney General
$63,438 vol
Kris Mayes
1.18
x
84
%
Warren Petersen
5.56
x
16
%
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?
·
Mixed Combos
$48,931 vol
Governor
1.12
x
86
%
Senate
1.06
x
91
%
Which abortion-related measures will pass this year?
·
Referendums
$22,568 vol
Missouri Amendment 3
2.46
x
38
%
Virginia Question 1
1.04
x
94
%
Florida Attorney General winner?
·
Attorney General
$74,392 vol
James Uthmeier
1.28
x
76
%
José Javier Rodriguez
4.13
x
22
%
Nevada State Assembly winner?
·
US Elections
$7,799 vol
Democratic party
1.05
x
94
%
Republican party
15.6
x
6
%
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