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  1. House

NY-17 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Cait Conley
Democratic party
58%
▲ 1

Cait Conley

Democratic party
58%
▲ 1
Mike Lawler
Republican party
42%
▼ 1

Mike Lawler

Republican party
42%
▼ 1
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NY-17 House winner?

Cait Conley

Odds
61% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Conley
Nov 3 ·D +1.2margin forecast
Lawler
$393,843 vol
Race Intel

NY-17 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMichael Lawler (R)Running for re-election

NY-17 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Cait ConleyD
    $4.3M
    17%
    $4.3M raised·17% small donors
  • Mike LawlerR
    $10M
    5.1%
    $10M raised·5.1% small donors

Conley vs. Lawler Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsConley 58%Lawler 42% · $361.5K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NY-17 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +0.6%2020D +10.1%