Alaska Senate winner? (Party)
Alaska Senate winner? (Party)
Begins in 145 days · Nov 3, 8:00am EST
Chance
Democratic party
61%
▼ 1
Democratic party
61%
▼ 1
Republican party
Current incumbent: Dan Sullivan
39%
▲ 1
Republican party
Current incumbent: Dan Sullivan
39%
▲ 1
Market Rules
Democratic party
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Alaska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from United States Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 3, 2024 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesSENATEAK
EventSENATEAK-26
MarketSENATEAK-26-D
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Holders of federal and statewide public office.
- Paid campaign staffers on Senate campaigns.
- Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
- Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Senatorial campaigns.
- Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
- Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
- Paid employees of major polling organizations.
- Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations.
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event
- All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
- All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
- All staff of the Office of the President of the United States.
- All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States.
- All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices.
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.