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  1. Senate

Kansas Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
2
Combo
Chance
Roger Marshall
Republican party
63%

Roger Marshall

Republican party
63%
Adam Hamilton
Democratic party
37%

Adam Hamilton

Democratic party
37%
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Control of Congress

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Tennessee Senate race: Hagerty vs. BradshawIdaho Senate race: Risch vs. AchillesOregon Governor race: Kotek vs. DrazanSouth Dakota Senate race: Rounds vs. BengsArkansas Senate race: Cotton vs. ShoffnerOklahoma Governor race: Mazzei vs. MunsonNew Hampshire Governor race: Ayotte vs. WarmingtonKentucky Senate race: Barr vs. BookerColorado Governor race: Weiser vs. MarxIllinois Governor race: Pritzker vs. Bailey
Combo
Kansas Senate winner?

Roger Marshall

Odds
67% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Hamilton
Nov 3
Marshall
$3,868,246 vol
Race Intel

Kansas Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentRoger Marshall (R)Running for re-election

Kansas Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Adam HamiltonD46.5%
    46.5%
    $3.7M
    17%
    $3.7M raised·17% small donors
  • Roger MarshallR45.5%
    45.5%
    $3.9M
    3.8%
    $3.9M raised·3.8% small donors

Marshall vs. Hamilton Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageHamilton +1.046.5% vs. 45.5%
Kalshi oddsMarshall 63%Hamilton 37% · $3.7M traded
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Kansas Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +16.1%2020R +14.6%