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  1. Senate

Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall?


Begins in 12 days · Nov 3

Chance

Ashley Hinson
Iowa Senate
51%

Ashley Hinson

Iowa Senate
51%

Roger Marshall
Kansas Senate
49%

Roger Marshall

Kansas Senate
49%

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Will Adam Hamilton outperform the polls?
Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall?

Ashley Hinson

Odds
56% chance
Max payout
Dec 7, 2026
$0
Race Intel
CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Adam HamiltonD46.1%
    46.1%
    $4.2M
    18%
    $4.2M raised·18% small donors
  • Roger MarshallR45.1%
    45.1%
    $4.8M
    4.0%
    $4.8M raised·4.0% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024R +16.1%2020R +14.6%