How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

Begins in 120 days · Nov 3, 8:00am EST

Chance

Below 53

77%

Below 53

4 more

Below 53

Resolves Yes if the Democratic party has below 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027.Outcome verified from United States Congress.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

Market openApr 4, 2026 · 10:00am EDT

Market closesFeb 1, 2027 · 10:00am EST

Projected payoutFeb 1, 2027 · 10:05am EST

SeriesKXDSENATESEATSH

EventKXDSENATESEATSH-27

MarketKXDSENATESEATSH-27-B53

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Holders of federal and statewide public office.
Paid campaign staffers on House and Senate campaigns.
Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Congressional campaigns.
Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
Paid employees of major polling organizations.
Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations.
All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
All staff of the Office of the President of the United States.
All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States.
All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices.
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Dollars

Odds

0% chance

Max payout