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Series Image
  1. US Elections

Texas Senate margin of victory

Forecast

Chance
James Talarico, 7+ pts
12%
▲ 4.8
James Talarico, 7+ pts
12%
▲ 4.8
James Talarico, 5+ pts
24%
▲ 3
James Talarico, 5+ pts
24%
▲ 3
James Talarico, 4+ pts
33%
▲ 2
James Talarico, 4+ pts
33%
▲ 2
James Talarico, 3+ pts
43%
▲ 4
James Talarico, 3+ pts
43%
▲ 4
James Talarico, 2+ pts
54%
▼ 1
James Talarico, 2+ pts
54%
▼ 1
James Talarico, 1+ pts
62%
James Talarico, 1+ pts
62%
Ken Paxton, 1+ pts
30%
▼ 3
Ken Paxton, 1+ pts
30%
▼ 3
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts
20%
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts
20%
Ken Paxton, 5+ pts
14%
▼ 2
Ken Paxton, 5+ pts
14%
▼ 2
Ken Paxton, 7+ pts
9.1%
▼ 0.5
Ken Paxton, 7+ pts
9.1%
▼ 0.5
Ken Paxton, 9+ pts
6%
Ken Paxton, 9+ pts
6%
Ken Paxton, 11+ pts
3.7%
Ken Paxton, 11+ pts
3.7%
Ken Paxton, 13+ pts
3.6%
▼ 0.1
Ken Paxton, 13+ pts
3.6%
▼ 0.1
Texas Senate margin of victory

James Talarico, 7+ pts

Odds
15% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0