How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Begins in 140 days · Nov 3, 8:00am EST
Chance
49
15%
49
15%
50
15%
50
15%
51
13%
▼ 1
51
13%
▼ 1
12 more
Market Rules
Below 45
If the Republican party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from United States Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 20, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesFeb 1, 2027 · 10:00am EST
Projected payoutFeb 1, 2027 · 10:05am EST
SeriesRSENATESEATS
EventRSENATESEATS-27
MarketRSENATESEATS-27-B45
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