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  1. Senate

Montana Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Kurt Alme
Republican party
91.3%
▼ 0.1

Kurt Alme

Republican party
91.3%
▼ 0.1
Seth Bodnar
Independent
8.7%
▼ 0.8

Seth Bodnar

Independent
8.7%
▼ 0.8
Alani Bankhead
Democratic party
0.5%
▼ 0.2

Alani Bankhead

Democratic party
0.5%
▼ 0.2
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More Montana and 2026 Midterm Races

More Montana races

MT-01 House race

Control of Congress

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Montana Senate winner?

Kurt Alme

Odds
92% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Bodnar
Nov 3 ·R +11.0margin forecast
Alme
$903,666 vol
Race Intel

Montana Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentSteve Daines (R)Not seeking re-election

Montana Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Alani BankheadD
    $58.8K
    32%
    $58.8K raised·32% small donors
  • Kurt AlmeR
    $2M
    4.5%
    $2M raised·4.5% small donors
  • Seth BodnarI
    $3.2M
    11%
    $3.2M raised·11% small donors

Alme vs. Bodnar Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsAlme 91%Bodnar 9% · $865.8K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Montana Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +19.9%2020R +16.4%