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  1. Senate

Iowa Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
2
Combo
Chance
Ashley Hinson
Republican party
55%

Ashley Hinson

Republican party
55%
Josh Turek
Democratic party
45%

Josh Turek

Democratic party
45%
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Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall?

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Combo
Iowa Senate winner?

Ashley Hinson

Odds
58% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Turek
Nov 3 ·R +1.2margin forecast
Hinson
$8,399,633 vol
Race Intel

Iowa Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJoni Ernst (R)Not seeking re-election

Iowa Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Josh TurekD46.0%
    46.0%
    $6.3M
    43%
    $6.3M raised·43% small donors
  • Ashley HinsonR45.8%
    45.8%
    $13.5M
    11%
    $13.5M raised·11% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Iowa Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +13.2%2020R +8.2%