If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Alabama for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from United States Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 3, 2024 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close early following the swearing in of the Senator for the seat in question. Otherwise, it closes by Nov 3, 2027 at 11:00am EDT.
SeriesSENATEAL
EventSENATEAL-26
MarketSENATEAL-26-R
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Holders of federal and statewide public office.
Paid campaign staffers on Senate campaigns.
Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Senatorial campaigns.
Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
Paid employees of major polling organizations.
Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations.
Any foreign national. This is defined as an individual who is: (1) not a citizen of the United States and (2) not lawfully admitted for permanent residence (as defined in 8 U.S.C. § 1101(a)(20)); or a foreign principal, as defined in 22 U.S.C. § 611(b). Section 611(b) defines a foreign principal to include a foreign government or political party; or a partnership, association, corporation, organization, or other combination of persons organized under the laws of a foreign country or whose principal place of business is in a foreign country.
All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
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All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States.
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Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event