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  1. Senate

Virginia Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Mark Warner
Democratic party
98.1%
▼ 0.7

Mark Warner

Democratic party
98.1%
▼ 0.7
Bert Mizusawa
Republican party
1.9%
▲ 0.7

Bert Mizusawa

Republican party
1.9%
▲ 0.7
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More Virginia and 2026 Midterm Races

More Virginia races

VA-05 House raceVA-01 House raceVA-02 House raceVA-06 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsKansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. MarshallOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

New Hampshire Governor race: Ayotte vs. WarmingtonAlabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. JonesLouisiana Senate race: Letlow vs. DavisKansas Governor race: Masterson vs. HolscherMaine Governor race: Pingree vs. CharlesNew Jersey Senate race: Booker vs. MurphyNew Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. HullKentucky Senate race: Barr vs. BookerAlaska Governor raceConnecticut Governor race: Lamont vs. Fazio
Virginia Senate winner?

Mark Warner

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Warner
Nov 3 ·D +24.0margin forecast
Mizusawa
$80,442 vol
Race Intel

Virginia Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMark Warner (D)Running for re-election

Virginia Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Bert MizusawaR
    $990.5K
    29%
    $990.5K raised·29% small donors
  • Mark WarnerD
    $19.9M
    16%
    $19.9M raised·16% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Virginia Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +5.8%2020D +10.1%