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  1. Senate

North Carolina Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
2
Combo
Chance
Roy Cooper
Democratic
96.5%
▼ 0.2

Roy Cooper

Democratic
96.5%
▼ 0.2
Michael Whatley
Republican
3.5%
▲ 0.2

Michael Whatley

Republican
3.5%
▲ 0.2
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North Carolina Senate margin of victory
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More North Carolina and 2026 Midterm Races

More North Carolina races

NC-11 House raceNC-03 House raceNC-01 House raceNC-09 House raceNC-13 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. Blakeman

More races

New Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. SununuNevada Governor race: Ford vs. LombardoWisconsin Governor race: Crowley vs. TiffanyMontana Senate race: Alme vs. BodnarArizona Governor race: Hobbs vs. BiggsMississippi Senate race: Hyde-Smith vs. ColomPennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. GarrityIdaho Senate race: Risch vs. AchillesVermont Governor race: Scott vs. JanooMinnesota Governor race: Klobuchar vs. Demuth
Combo
North Carolina Senate winner?

Roy Cooper

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Cooper
Nov 3 ·D +14.3margin forecast
Whatley
$4,923,842 vol
Race Intel

North Carolina Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentThom Tillis (R)Not seeking re-election

North Carolina Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Roy CooperD51.3%
    51.3%
    $47.2M
    12%
    $47.2M raised·12% small donors
  • Michael WhatleyR41.3%
    41.3%
    $13.4M
    16%
    $13.4M raised·16% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past North Carolina Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +3.2%2020R +1.3%