Skip to main content
Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive153AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE153
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programSmall business hedgingInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQPrediction marketsFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
Series Image
  1. House

NC-03 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
444



Raymond Smith Jr.
Democratic party
Yes

Raymond Smith Jr.

Democratic party
Yes

Greg Murphy
Republican party
No

Greg Murphy

Republican party
No

People are also trading
Series Image
North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory
Series Image
North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory
Series Image
North Carolina 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
NC-05 House winner?
Series Image
When will AP call the NC-03 House election?
Series Image
North Carolina State Senate winner?
Series Image
NC-10 House winner?
Series Image
NC-07 House winner?
Series Image
NC-03 House election: Greg Murphy vote percent
Series Image
NC-03 House election: Raymond Smith Jr. vote percent
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
Illustration of gavel
Determined
Outcome: Yes
Explore Elections
Smith
Nov 3
Murphy
$13,198,997 vol
Race Intel

NC-03 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentGregory Murphy (R)Running for re-election

NC-03 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Greg MurphyR
    $2.8M
    1.1%
    $2.8M raised·1.1% small donors
  • Raymond Smith Jr.D
    $223.1K
    32%
    $223.1K raised·32% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NC-03 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +13.6%2020R +8.3%

More North Carolina and 2026 Midterm Races

More North Carolina races

North Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyNC-05 House raceNC-13 House raceNC-09 House raceNC-01 House raceNC-11 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions2026 House forecast

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonTexas Governor race: Hinojosa vs. AbbottMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersMississippi Senate race: Colom vs. Hyde-SmithFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyAlaska Senate raceMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsSouth Carolina Senate race: Andrews vs. GrahamNebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. BurbankIowa Senate race: Turek vs. Hinson

More races

Illinois Senate race: Stratton vs. TracyHawaii Governor race: Green vs. CorderyOregon Senate race: Merkley vs. SmithIdaho Governor race: Little vs. PickensWyoming Senate race: Hageman vs. ByrdDelaware Senate race: Coons vs. KatzArkansas Governor race: Sanders vs. LoveRhode Island Senate race: Reed vs. McKaySouth Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. AhlersWyoming Governor race: Barlow vs. Casner