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  1. Senate

Arkansas Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
2
Chance
Tom Cotton
Republican party
93.6%
▼ 0.4

Tom Cotton

Republican party
93.6%
▼ 0.4
Hallie Shoffner
Democratic party
6.4%
▲ 0.4

Hallie Shoffner

Democratic party
6.4%
▲ 0.4
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Arkansas Senate winner?

Tom Cotton

Odds
95% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Shoffner
Nov 3 ·R +13.9margin forecast
Cotton
$265,682 vol
Race Intel

Arkansas Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentTom Cotton (R)Running for re-election

Arkansas Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Tom CottonR50.4%
    50.4%
    $6.2M
    8.9%
    $6.2M raised·8.9% small donors
  • Hallie ShoffnerD38.7%
    38.7%
    $2.3M
    36%
    $2.3M raised·36% small donors

Cotton vs. Shoffner Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageCotton +11.750.4% vs. 38.7%
Kalshi oddsCotton 94%Shoffner 6% · $248.9K traded
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Arkansas Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +30.6%2020R +27.6%