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Senate
Idaho Senate winner?
Resolves by winning party
2
Chance
Jim Risch
Republican party
95.1%
▲ 0.2
Yes
95.1¢
No
6¢
Jim Risch
Republican party
95.1%
▲ 0.2
Yes
95.1¢
No
6¢
Todd Achilles
Independent
6%
▲ 1
Yes
6¢
No
95¢
Todd Achilles
Independent
6%
▲ 1
Yes
6¢
No
95¢
David Roth
Democratic party
<1%
Yes
0.3¢
No
David Roth
Democratic party
<1%
Yes
0.3¢
No
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Buy
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Dollars
Idaho Senate winner?
Jim Risch
YES 95.1¢
NO 6¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
95% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Achilles
Nov 3
·
R +15.6
margin forecast
Risch
$434,878 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
Idaho Senate Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Jim Risch (R)
Running for re-election
Idaho Senate Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Jim Risch
R
$3.4M
4.2%
$3.4M raised
·
4.2% small donors
Todd Achilles
I
$692.2K
17%
$692.2K raised
·
17% small donors
Risch vs. Achilles Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Risch 95%
Achilles 6% · $405.1K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past Idaho Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +36.5%
2020
R +30.8%