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  1. Senate

Minnesota Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
Combo
Chance
Peggy Flanagan
Democratic (DFL) party
86%
▼ 1

Peggy Flanagan

Democratic (DFL) party
86%
▼ 1
Michele Tafoya
Republican party
14%
▲ 1

Michele Tafoya

Republican party
14%
▲ 1
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Minnesota Senate election: Michele Tafoya vote percent
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Minnesota Senate election: Peggy Flanagan vote percent
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Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

More Minnesota and 2026 Midterm Races

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Control of Congress

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Wyoming Senate race: Hageman vs. ByrdIllinois Senate race: Stratton vs. TracyAlabama Senate race: Moore vs. WessOregon Senate race: Merkley vs. SmithHawaii Governor race: Green vs. CorderySouth Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. AhlersWyoming Governor race: Barlow vs. CasnerIdaho Governor race: Little vs. PickensArkansas Governor race: Sanders vs. LoveAlaska Senate race
Combo
Minnesota Senate winner?

Peggy Flanagan

Odds
88% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Flanagan
Nov 3 ·D +6.3margin forecast
Tafoya
$2,520,394 vol
Race Intel

Minnesota Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentTina Smith (D)Not seeking re-election

Minnesota Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Peggy FlanaganD46.0%
    46.0%
    $6M
    45%
    $6M raised·45% small donors
  • Michele TafoyaR43.1%
    43.1%
    $4.7M
    44%
    $4.7M raised·44% small donors

Flanagan vs. Tafoya Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageFlanagan +2.946.0% vs. 43.1%
Kalshi oddsFlanagan 86%Tafoya 14% · $2.4M traded
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Minnesota Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +4.2%2020D +7.1%