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  1. House

MN-05 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Ilhan Omar
Democratic (DFL) party
94.2%

Ilhan Omar

Democratic (DFL) party
94.2%
John Nagel
Republican party
3.4%
▼ 2.8

John Nagel

Republican party
3.4%
▼ 2.8
DeVelle Jackson
Independent
<1%

DeVelle Jackson

Independent
<1%
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MN-05 House winner?
Ilhan Omar

Ilhan Omar

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Omar
Nov 3 ·D +55.8margin forecast
Nagel
$435,083 vol
Race Intel

MN-05 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentIlhan Omar (D)Running for re-election

MN-05 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Ilhan OmarD
    $5.7M
    63%
    $5.7M raised·63% small donors
  • John NagelR
    $746K
    77%
    $746K raised·77% small donors

Omar vs. Nagel Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsOmar 94%Nagel 3% · $417.3K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MN-05 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +61.9%2020D +63.1%