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House
ME-02 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
Chance
Paul LePage
Republican party
99.5%
▼ 0.4
Yes
99.8¢
No
0.4¢
Paul LePage
Republican party
99.5%
▼ 0.4
Yes
99.8¢
No
0.4¢
Matt Dunlap
Democratic party
0.5%
▲ 0.4
Yes
0.5¢
No
99.7¢
Matt Dunlap
Democratic party
0.5%
▲ 0.4
Yes
0.5¢
No
99.7¢
ME-02 House Margin of Victory
ME-02 House Voter Turnout
ME-02 House Vote Percent
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Maine's 2nd District margin of victory
Maine 02 House General Election: voter turnout
ME-02 House election: Paul LePage vote percent (1st Round)
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ME-02 House election: Matt Dunlap vote percent (1st Round)
Maine's 2nd District margin of victory
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NC-05 House winner?
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General election · Nov 3, 2026
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Candidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
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ME-02 House winner?
Paul LePage
YES 99.8¢
NO 0.4¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
100% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
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Dunlap
Nov 3
·
R +1.0
margin forecast
LePage
$1,239,882 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
AI Digest
· Ranked-choice count continues in Maine after Dunlap concedes to LePage
Not advice
Race Intel
ME-02 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Jared Golden (D)
Not seeking re-election
ME-02 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Polls
Raised
Small Donors
Paul LePage
R
50.4%
50.4%
$3.2M
6.2%
$3.2M raised
·
6.2% small donors
Matt Dunlap
D
47.2%
47.2%
$2.7M
35%
$2.7M raised
·
35% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past ME-02 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +9.0%
2020
R +6.1%
More Maine and 2026 Midterm Races
More Maine races
Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. Collins
Maine Governor race: Pingree vs. Bennett
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