Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive175AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE175
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

ME-02 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Paul LePage
Republican party
58%
▼ 1

Paul LePage

Republican party
58%
▼ 1
Matt Dunlap
Democratic party
42%
▲ 1

Matt Dunlap

Democratic party
42%
▲ 1
People are also trading
Series Image
Maine's 2nd District margin of victory
Series Image
Maine 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
Maine-Texas Senate Combo
Series Image
Maine Governor-Senate combo
Series Image
Maine State Senate winner?
Series Image
ME-02 House election: Matt Dunlap vote percent (1st Round)
Series Image
Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin?
Series Image
ME-02 House election: Paul LePage vote percent (1st Round)
Series Image
Maine's 2nd District margin of victory
Series Image
Maine State House winner?

More Maine and 2026 Midterm Races

More Maine races

Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMaine Governor race: Pingree vs. Charles

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley

More races

Florida Senate race: Moody vs. NixonMassachusetts Governor race: Healey vs. MinogueWisconsin Governor race: Crowley vs. TiffanyMontana Senate race: Alme vs. BodnarPennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. GarrityArizona Governor race: Hobbs vs. BiggsIdaho Senate race: Risch vs. AchillesMississippi Senate race: Hyde-Smith vs. ColomVermont Governor race: Scott vs. JanooMinnesota Governor race: Klobuchar vs. Demuth
ME-02 House winner?

Paul LePage

Odds
61% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Dunlap
Nov 3 ·R +2.4margin forecast
LePage
$231,202 vol
Race Intel

ME-02 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJared Golden (D)Not seeking re-election

ME-02 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Paul LePageR49.0%
    49.0%
    $3.2M
    6.2%
    $3.2M raised·6.2% small donors
  • Matt DunlapD47.0%
    47.0%
    $2.7M
    35%
    $2.7M raised·35% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past ME-02 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +9.0%2020R +6.1%