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  1. House

AZ-06 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
JoAnna Mendoza
Democratic party
84%

JoAnna Mendoza

Democratic party
84%
Juan Ciscomani
Republican party
16%

Juan Ciscomani

Republican party
16%
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AZ-06 House winner?

JoAnna Mendoza

Odds
87% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Mendoza
Nov 3 ·D +6.0margin forecast
Ciscomani
$71,733 vol
Race Intel

AZ-06 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJuan Ciscomani (R)Running for re-election

AZ-06 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • JoAnna MendozaD46.8%
    46.8%
    $7.4M
    38%
    $7.4M raised·38% small donors
  • Juan CiscomaniR44.3%
    44.3%
    $7.5M
    8.0%
    $7.5M raised·8.0% small donors

Mendoza vs. Ciscomani Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageMendoza +2.546.8% vs. 44.3%
Kalshi oddsMendoza 84%Ciscomani 16% · $54K traded
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past AZ-06 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +0.7%2020D +0.1%