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House
AZ-01 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
Chance
Amish Shah
Democratic party
79%
▲ 1
Yes
80¢
No
21¢
Amish Shah
Democratic party
79%
▲ 1
Yes
80¢
No
21¢
Jay Feely
Republican party
21%
▼ 1
Yes
21¢
No
80¢
Jay Feely
Republican party
21%
▼ 1
Yes
21¢
No
80¢
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
AZ-01 House winner?
Amish Shah
YES 80¢
NO 21¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
81% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Shah
Nov 3
·
D +5.0
margin forecast
Feely
$203,303 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
AZ-01 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
David Schweikert (R)
Not seeking re-election
AZ-01 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Amish Shah
D
$1.8M
11%
$1.8M raised
·
11% small donors
Jay Feely
R
$2.5M
1.1%
$2.5M raised
·
1.1% small donors
Shah vs. Feely Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Shah 79%
Feely 21% · $149.1K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past AZ-01 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +3.1%
2020
D +1.5%