How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Begins in 134 days · Nov 3, 8:00am EST
Chance
51
16%
51
16%
52
9.3%
▲ 0.1
52
9.3%
▲ 0.1
Above 52
20%
▲ 1
Above 52
20%
▲ 1
7 more
Market Rules
Below 45
Resolves Yes if the Democratic Party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027.Outcome verified from United States Congress.
Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 20, 2025 · 11:00am EST
Market closesFeb 1, 2027 · 10:00am EST
Projected payoutFeb 1, 2027 · 10:05am EST
SeriesKXDSENATESEATS
EventKXDSENATESEATS-27
MarketKXDSENATESEATS-27-BELOW45
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