Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)
Chance
Below 45
14%
Below 45
14%
45
14%
45
14%
46
4%
46
4%
11 more
Market Rules
Below 45
Resolves Yes if the Democratic party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029.Outcome verified from United States Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 15, 2026 · 5:00pm EDT
Market closesFeb 1, 2029 · 10:00am EST
Projected payoutFeb 1, 2029 · 10:05am EST
SeriesKXDSENATESEATS
EventKXDSENATESEATS-29
MarketKXDSENATESEATS-29-B45
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Holders of federal and statewide public office.
- Paid campaign staffers on House and Senate campaigns.
- Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
- Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Congressional campaigns.
- Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
- Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
- Paid employees of major polling organizations.
- Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations.
- All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
- All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
- All staff of the Office of the President of the United States.
- All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States.
- All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices.
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event
Below 45
Odds
0% chanceMax payout