Will xAI release Grok 4 this year?
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Before Jan 1, 2026
$5,112vol
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Rules summary
If xAI releases Grok 4 before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from xAI.
Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Timeline and payout
Will xAI release Grok 4 this year?
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