How many launches will SpaceX have this year?
9
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▲ 000
9
8
7
6
5
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1
0
9
8
7
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9
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1
0
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2025
% Chance
$376,078vol
Above 160
66%
+2
Above 160
66%
+2
Above 180
35%
+3
Above 180
35%
+3
Above 200
14%
+1
Above 200
14%
+1
4 more markets
Rules summary for
Above 180
If SpaceX has more than 180 launches in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Federal Aviation Administration.
Timeline and payout
Trading prohibitions
About
SpaceX dominated the global space launch market in 2023, accounting for 98 of the 109 US launch attempts and placing 1,937 satellites into orbit, primarily for its Starlink constellation. The company's revenue for 2023 was estimated to be $8.7 billion, with a significant portion coming from Starlink subscriptions and launch services. SpaceX aims to increase its launch frequency, targeting 144 launches in 2024, a significant jump from its 2023 performance.
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How many launches will SpaceX have this year?
Buy Yes · Above 180Buy
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