Series Image

Number of tornadoes this month?

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
forecast
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
Dec 27Jan 4Jan 12Jan 21Jan 290255075100
6H
1D
1W
ALL

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Jan 2025 (+1)
% Chance
$954,713vol

Above 25
24%
-5
Above 25
24%
-5

Above 50
2%
-48
Above 50
2%
-48

Above 75
<1%
Above 75
<1%

3 more markets

Rules summary for
Above 25
If the preliminary number of tornadoes in Jan is above 25 , then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
The number of tornadoes will be determined by the "Storm Reports Legend" shown in the bottom left corner of the "Preliminary Report Summary."

Timeline and payout

About
The United States has experienced a record-breaking month of tornadoes in May 2024, with over 500 reported, significantly surpassing the average of 275 for the month. This surge in tornadoes has resulted in fatalities and widespread destruction across multiple states, including Arkansas, Iowa, Kentucky, Oklahoma, and Texas. Historically, May is the peak month for tornadoes, followed closely by June, which is also a period of high tornado activity. The frequency of tornadoes is influenced by the jet stream, which provides the necessary wind shear for thunderstorms to produce tornadoes, making the spring and early summer months particularly prone to tornadoes.
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Series Image
Number of tornadoes this month?
Buy Yes · Above 25
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Average price
25¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0