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Number of tornadoes this month?

2
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
2
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
4
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
forecast
8
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
Apr 25Apr 29May 4May 9May 14100200300400500
6H
1D
1W
ALL

May 2025
Chance
$1,690,871vol

Above 150
74%
▼ 22

Above 200
68%
▼ 20

Above 250
32%
▼ 36

10 more markets

Rules summary for
Above 200
If the preliminary number of tornadoes in May is above 200 , then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
The number of tornadoes will be determined by the "Storm Reports Legend" shown in the bottom left corner of the "Preliminary Report Summary." Note: this event is directional.

Timeline and payout

About
The United States has experienced a record-breaking month of tornadoes in May 2024, with over 500 reported, significantly surpassing the average of 275 for the month. This surge in tornadoes has resulted in fatalities and widespread destruction across multiple states, including Arkansas, Iowa, Kentucky, Oklahoma, and Texas. Historically, May is the peak month for tornadoes, followed closely by June, which is also a period of high tornado activity. The frequency of tornadoes is influenced by the jet stream, which provides the necessary wind shear for thunderstorms to produce tornadoes, making the spring and early summer months particularly prone to tornadoes.
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Number of tornadoes this month?
Buy Yes · Above 200
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Average price
67¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0