When will Tesla launch unsupervised full self-driving to the public?
Before June 7%
Before July 21%
Before 2026 53%
Live bets: Kalshi.com
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2025
Chance
$16,513vol
Before May
5%
Before June
7%
Before July
21%
Before 2026
53%
▲ 4
Rules summary for
Before 2026
If Tesla launches unsupervised full self-driving in their cars (including in a robotaxi service) before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from Elon Musk, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
Timeline and payout
When will Tesla launch unsupervised full self-driving to the public?
Buy Yes · Before 2026Buy
Sell
Dollars
Pick a side