US test scores in Reading next year?
Significant decrease 45%
Significant increase 33%
No significant difference 24%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2026
Chance
$20,146vol
Significant decrease
45%
Significant increase
33%
No significant difference
24%
Rules summary for
Significant decrease
If US average test scores for eighth graders experienced Significant decrease in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Nation's Report Card.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Timeline and payout
About
The National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), established in 1969, is the largest continuing national assessment of student knowledge and abilities in subjects such as mathematics, reading, science, and writing. The results, known as The Nation's Report Card, are used by educators, policymakers, and researchers to assess educational progress and develop improvement strategies. Administered by the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) under the U.S. Department of Education, NAEP provides a standardized measure of student achievement across the nation, states, and some urban districts.
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