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Which party will be second in the Portuguese general election?
Socialist Party 54%
Mar 24
Mar 25
Mar 26
Mar 27
Mar 28
54%
54%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2025
Chance
Socialist Party
54%
Yes
54¢
No
55¢
Socialist Party
54%
Yes
54¢
No
55¢
Social Democratic Party
49%
Yes
54¢
No
56¢
Social Democratic Party
49%
Yes
54¢
No
56¢
Chega
3%
Yes
6¢
No
99¢
Chega
3%
Yes
6¢
No
99¢
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Rules summary for
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Socialist Party
If Socialist Party wins the second-most seats in the 2025 Portuguese general election for its Assembly of the Republic, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
Politico EU
,
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
, and
MSNBC
.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
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Which party will be second in the Portuguese general election?
Buy Yes
· Socialist Party
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Yes
54¢
No
55¢
Amount
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0
Average price
54¢
Payout if
Yes
wins
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54%