Will a no-confidence motion pass against Trudeau before April?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
chance
▼
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Before Apr 2025 (+0)
$70,134vol
Order book
No
Rules summary
The outcome is No
If there is a successful vote of no confidence in the Prime Minister of Canada before Apr 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Politico.
If the Prime Minister as of Issuance resigns before a motion of no confidence in the Canadian government has passed, then the market immediately resolves to No.