Series Image

Will a no-confidence motion pass against Trudeau before April?

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
chance
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
DecJanFebFebApr0%25%50%75%100%
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Before Apr 2025 (+0)
$70,134vol

No


Rules summary
The outcome is No
If there is a successful vote of no confidence in the Prime Minister of Canada before Apr 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Politico.
If the Prime Minister as of Issuance resigns before a motion of no confidence in the Canadian government has passed, then the market immediately resolves to No.

Timeline and payout