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Who will win the Senate race in Minnesota?

Live bets: Kalshi.com
DecDecJanFebMar0%25%50%75%100%Democratic (DFL) party84%Republican party16%
1D
1W
1M
ALL

2026
Chance
$4,207vol

Democratic (DFL) party
Current incumbent: Tina Smith
84%

Republican party
16%

Rules summary for
Democratic (DFL) party
If a representative of the Democratic (DFL) party is sworn in as a Senator of Minnesota for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from United States Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

Trading prohibitions
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Who will win the Senate race in Minnesota?
Buy Yes · Democratic (DFL) partyCurrent incumbent: Tina Smith
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Average price
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Payout if Yes wins
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