Post
BtVR
Nov 13, 2024
https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1856695617411547343
Nate Silver still predicting Trump +1.4 in his latest revised estimate this morning, for whatever that's worth.
Nate Silver still predicting Trump +1.4 in his latest revised estimate this morning, for whatever that's worth.
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?
Yes · Trump by 1.25-1.49%
KingKash
Nov 13, 2024His predictions are garbage and he probably conned himself into loading up on 1.25's himself. There's no way this even gets close to 1.50 at this point. 1.80 range.
KingKash
Nov 13, 2024@Simmi I hope to God that both Nate Silver and AtlasIntel are the fools who took the other side of me buying 1.75 at 10 cents! Would love to take their money.
Jass
Nov 13, 2024Maybe he thinks the mail in ballots will heavily favor Kamala but as Cali went from 80 to 86% reporting, Trump closed the gap by 0.1%. This would suggest that whatever they are counting in recent days, is going under 58.9% for Kamala and if that holds true, it wouldn't go under 1.5% (even after I included all blue states with significant votes outstanding and ignored red states.)