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Trump’s first 100 days
kalshi.com
Who will be pardoned?
Who will be pardoned?
Steve Bannon
▲ 1
29%
Eric Adams
▼ 5
17%
Edward Snowden
16%
Roger Ver
▼ 5
12%
Julian Assange
▼ 1
12%
Rudy Giuliani
▼ 1
11%
Tariffs imposed?
Tariffs imposed?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
chance
▲
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
Jan 26Jan 27Jan 27Jan 28Jan 2960%70%80%90%100%
6H
ALL
Deport illegal immigrants?
Deport illegal immigrants?
Outcome is   yes
Trans athlete ban?
Trans athlete ban?
Outcome is   yes
Voter ID requirement?
Voter ID requirement?
55% chance 
▼ 10
Who will join the Trump administration
kalshi.com
KXTRUMPOFFICIAL
74%
▲ 3
Natalie Harp
KXTRUMPOFFICIAL
58%
David Sacks
KXTRUMPOFFICIAL
35%
▲ 1
Avi Berkowitz
KXTRUMPOFFICIAL
17%
▼ 4
Ben Carson
KXTRUMPOFFICIAL
16%
Boris Epshteyn
KXTRUMPOFFICIAL
3%
Ivanka Trump
Trump’s Cabinet
kalshi.com
KXSECHHS
99%
Howard Lutnick
Secretary of Commerce
KXSECCOM
99%
Pam Bondi
Attorney General
KXSECAG
Yes
Pete Hegseth
Secretary of Defense
KXFBI
Yes
Scott Bessent
Secretary of the Treasury
KXDNI
Yes
Marco Rubio
Secretary of State
KXSECDEF
90%
▲ 2
Kash Patel
FBI Director
KXSECTREASURY
73%
▼ 1
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Secretary of HHS
KXSECSTATE
54%
▲ 6
Tulsi Gabbard
Director of National Intelligence
What will the US control?
kalshi.com
Panama Canal?
Panama Canal?
During Trump's term
▲ 3
44%
Greenland?
Greenland?
During Trump's term
▼ 1
32%
Canada?
Canada?
Before 2029
▼ 1
15%
American Renaissance
kalshi.com
Government spending cuts?
Government spending cuts?
Trump economic boom?
Trump economic boom?
60% chance 
▼ 1
No tax on tips?
No tax on tips?
75% chance 
▼ 2
Bitcoin strategic reserve?
Bitcoin strategic reserve?
49% chance 
▼ 4
Mass deportation?
Mass deportation?
91% chance 
Expand H1-B?
Expand H1-B?
63% chance 
▲ 4
Cut corporate taxes?
Cut corporate taxes?
56% chance