Markets
Forecasts
Ideas
API
Log inSign up
Trump’s first 100 days
kalshi.com
Who will be pardoned?
Who will be pardoned?
Steve Bannon
15%
Rudy Giuliani
▼ 2
14%
Roger Ver
▼ 1
10%
Julian Assange
▼ 2
9%
Edward Snowden
▲ 2
12%
Eric Adams
7%
Tariffs imposed?
Tariffs imposed?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
chance
▲
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
Jan 26Jan 28Jan 31Feb 2Feb 2750%62.5%75%87.5%100%
6H
ALL
Deport illegal immigrants?
Deport illegal immigrants?
Outcome is   yes
Trans athlete ban?
Trans athlete ban?
Outcome is   yes
Voter ID requirement?
Voter ID requirement?
42% chance 
Who will join the Trump administration
kalshi.com
KXTRUMPOFFICIAL
Yes
David Sacks
KXTRUMPOFFICIAL
26%
Natalie Harp
KXTRUMPOFFICIAL
22%
▼ 23
Avi Berkowitz
KXTRUMPOFFICIAL
15%
Ben Carson
KXTRUMPOFFICIAL
7%
Boris Epshteyn
KXTRUMPOFFICIAL
4%
▲ 1
Ivanka Trump
Trump’s Cabinet
kalshi.com
KXFBI
Yes
Kash Patel
FBI Director
KXDNI
Yes
Tulsi Gabbard
Director of National Intelligence
KXSECTREASURY
Yes
Scott Bessent
Secretary of the Treasury
KXSECSTATE
Yes
Marco Rubio
Secretary of State
KXSECHHS
Yes
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Secretary of HHS
KXSECDEF
Yes
Pete Hegseth
Secretary of Defense
KXSECCOM
Yes
Howard Lutnick
Secretary of Commerce
KXSECAG
Yes
Pam Bondi
Attorney General
What will the US control?
kalshi.com
Panama Canal?
Panama Canal?
During Trump's term
▼ 4
28%
Greenland?
Greenland?
During Trump's term
▲ 1
26%
Canada?
Canada?
Before 2029
19%
American Renaissance
kalshi.com
Government spending cuts?
Government spending cuts?
Trump economic boom?
Trump economic boom?
54% chance 
▼ 1
No tax on tips?
No tax on tips?
72% chance 
Bitcoin strategic reserve?
Bitcoin strategic reserve?
52% chance 
Mass deportation?
Mass deportation?
84% chance 
▲ 7
Expand H1-B?
Expand H1-B?
47% chance 
▼ 6
Cut corporate taxes?
Cut corporate taxes?
48% chance 
▼ 5