Who will be Trump's Secretary of Commerce?
Howard Lutnick 100%
Linda McMahon N/A
Robert Lighthizer N/A
1D
1W
1M
ALL
By Dec 31, 2026 (+0)
$554,923vol
Howard Lutnick
Yes
Linda McMahon
No
Robert Lighthizer
No
Bill Hagerty
No
Important information: Nominees must be confirmed by the United States Senate (recess appointments do not count).
Rules summary for
Howard Lutnick
If Howard Lutnick is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be Secretary of Commerce between November 6, 2024 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Timeline and payout
About
The Secretary of Commerce leads the Department of Commerce, providing policy guidance and advising the President on economic growth, trade, and industry. The role involves overseeing departmental functions, supervising operating units, and managing programs that support U.S. businesses and economic development. President-elect Trump has nominated Howard Lutnick for this position, but he has yet to be confirmed by the Senate. (Source: Commerce.gov)
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